Re:The Gambler's Fallacy Is Not a Fallacy
by ehoh on Tuesday April 30, 2024 @10:47AM
(#40211519)
> If you hold to Truth No. 1, you have no difficulty in believing that 1000 flips can come up 1000 Tails just as easily as the 50:50 result.
There are (1000 choose 500) ways to an equal number of heads/tails and 1 way to get all tails. If you get all tails, you should probably question the correctness of your model.
There are (1000 choose 500) ways to an equal number of heads/tails and 1 way to get all tails. If you get all tails, you should probably question the correctness of your model.