A Double Emergence of Periodical Cicadas Isn't Cicada-Geddon–It's a Marvel

Re:A Double Emergence of Periodical Cicadas Isn't Cicada-Ged... by echelon on Tuesday March 12, 2024 @02:01PM (#39682711)

> Stuff like this is always priced in.

But sometimes you truly are the first to know or think about something. Maybe not in this instance, but probably others. Especially if you read a lot of diverse information on many topics.

Sometimes you just have to be ahead of the mean, too.

I made good money on WFH, GPUs, shipping, oil, and energy by being just a little bit ahead of everyone else.

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Re:A Double Emergence of Periodical Cicadas Isn't Cicada-Ged... by kulahan on Tuesday March 12, 2024 @02:12PM (#39682853)

Biggest loss for me was reading about Nikola’s “HTML SUPERCOMPUTER” driving their trucks. The easiest short I ever could’ve taken part in. So obvious. So painful. I discovered it as the story broke, but MAN, if I’d read that just a few weeks earlier…

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Re:A Double Emergence of Periodical Cicadas Isn't Cicada-Ged... by Workaccount2 on Tuesday March 12, 2024 @02:06PM (#39682773)

Right, there is a meta-game at work where you also need to know how many other people are betting on your hypothesis. Sometimes this is somewhat clear, but generally it's impossible to know because of the countless variables that would need to be accounted for.

[ Parent | on HN ]