Suddenly the following scenario, is not far fetched anymore: Russian will found an excuse around Kaliningrad Oblast and a NATO hostile US president will negotiate a cease fire in the name of stopping a Nuclear conflict...
It's an extremely cynical take but US + EU can pretty much afford to "wage" this war indefinitely as long they give just enough to Ukraine for it not to collapse and both sides continue throwing their men into the grinder. Russia is on a timer; it might take an extra few years and even if they don't run out of shells they'll run out of soldiers sooner or later (of course unfortunately the same applies to Ukraine..).
Poland hoped the UK would safe them from Germany and Russia and was betrayed.
Poland now hows the US would safe them from Russia, and they will be betrayed.
https://www.cnn.com/2024/02/13/politics/fact-check-trump-nat...
He hasn't cared previously, and more recently... https://apnews.com/article/trump-backlash-nato-funding-russi...
> Speaking at a campaign rally in South Carolina, he retold the story of his alleged conversation with the head of a NATO member country that had not met its obligations. This time, though, he left out the line that drew the most outrage — encouraging Russia “to do whatever the hell they want.”
> “Look, if they’re not going to pay, we’re not going to protect. OK?” he said Wednesday.
The balance of power is not even remotely similar to what it was back in 1939. Even if we ignore the economy and armament production modern Russia has severe demographic issues it barely has enough manpower to wage a full-scale war in Ukraine (considering the massive casualty rate, more in a single year than US lost during the 15 years in Vietnam and Russia has many times smaller conscriptable population than the US had back then).
How could they ever open a "second front" in the Baltics?
Back in 1940 the allies were extremely underprepared materially (mainly the British, the French had an army that could certainly compete with Germany on paper, but they were much too conservative (and in hindsight run by incompetent morons)). It's not like they consciously decided to just abandon Poland outright, the allies expected it to hold out much longer and very way too slow and indecisive to do anything. Then they somehow managed to lose Norway against all odds and the same thing repeated in France.
Stuff like that simply can't happen in modern warfare (as the Russian attempt to capture Kiev has proven)..
That's absolutely not the sentiments among Poles. If anything, there's a belief we can only rely on US when poo hits the fan.