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Re:Hopes for Finding Mars Life After Rover's Ground-Penetrat... by Shinmon on Tuesday January 30, 2024 @05:22AM (#39188406)
I have worked on algorithms and system analysis in very similar projects and it's highly doubtful that these results are worth anything.

The radar sounder design and the numerical studies are flawed due to the used simulation methods. Numerical simulations are computationally expensive (in time and in space). Therefore many approximations are made (e.g. no real antenna pattern, no influence of the rover, thin slices of ground that is being simulated and than put together, ...)

Reading such radargrams is like reading tea leaves. I am pretty sure that most of the echos in the radargram are surface clutter from bigger rocks or hilly areas in the distance. In one of our simulation works for a very similar project we have actually shown that this has a heavy influence on the radargram and is never considered in any of the works analyzing the results from Mars (or any other space object).

These projects are extremely political even though they shouldn't be. Groups that have had instruments on previous missions will be part of the next mission, too, because they have flown instruments already. So, any study or inclination that the instrument as it is does not work is buried quickly and often unknown to many of the people in the science teams, too.

I know, it's quite cynic but it's my experience and I know that I am not the only one feeling that way. So, while the rover and the measurements themselves are impressive, the analysis is wonky at best.

Re:Hopes for Finding Mars Life After Rover's Ground-Penetrat... by okokwhatever on Tuesday January 30, 2024 @05:52AM (#39188599)
Interesting. Do you think private exploration solves this problems?
Re:Hopes for Finding Mars Life After Rover's Ground-Penetrat... by Shinmon on Tuesday January 30, 2024 @06:42AM (#39188949)
Not sure to be honest.

I think the main problem of the current setup is that the science teams are not balanced enough.

The radar sounding science team is mostly geophysicists because the interpretations are geophysical in nature, but there are not enough people who are experts in radar sounding, radar system and radio frequency wave propagation in general. The reason for that is, that this is not considered science and is looked down upon as mere "engineering".

Privatized exploration would initially solve some of these problems for sure, but once a group of people and its structure has manifested I believe they would eventually suffer from the same problem.

Anyway, this is a pretty complex topic which covers many aspects such as research funding, incentives in academia, vain egos, etc.

Re:Hopes for Finding Mars Life After Rover's Ground-Penetrat... by stetrain on Tuesday January 30, 2024 @08:43AM (#39189986)
The public sector doesn't have a monopoly on internal politics. Posturing between departments to be included in the next big initiative happens in lots of companies.
Re:Hopes for Finding Mars Life After Rover's Ground-Penetrat... by BurningFrog on Tuesday January 30, 2024 @08:47AM (#39190033)
The point of competition is that if 10 deeply flawed organizations take a crack at a problem, they won't all produce garbage.
Re:Hopes for Finding Mars Life After Rover's Ground-Penetrat... by stetrain on Tuesday January 30, 2024 @12:32PM (#39193013)
That's not guaranteed. Really it's a question of incentive structure more than public vs private.

For example there are cases I can point to of poor competition and high costs in NASA picking private companies to do big cost-plus development contracts, and cases where they did fixed-price contract bidding among a larger pool of competitors and got much better results.

Re:Hopes for Finding Mars Life After Rover's Ground-Penetrat... by Shinmon on Tuesday January 30, 2024 @12:11PM (#39192701)
While that might be true the costs of going up there are so high that there won't be 10 companies who get a crack at it.

Besides, the radar isn't the only instrument on the rover. There aren't many companies/groups in the world who have the know-how and financial means to do what NASA does here.

Re:Hopes for Finding Mars Life After Rover's Ground-Penetrat... by sdenton4 on Tuesday January 30, 2024 @10:51AM (#39191512)
Or! They all produce garbage as they chip away at costs, and make bank telling people what they want to hear. The incentives are all wrong.
Re:Hopes for Finding Mars Life After Rover's Ground-Penetrat... by sgt101 on Tuesday January 30, 2024 @08:59AM (#39190161)
This surprises me, I have seen ground penetrating radar results that have shown buried items which have then been dug up, why is this result different?
Re:Hopes for Finding Mars Life After Rover's Ground-Penetrat... by throwup238 on Tuesday January 30, 2024 @09:05AM (#39190224)
They’ve been calibrated on Earth for use on Earth.
Re:Hopes for Finding Mars Life After Rover's Ground-Penetrat... by rozab on Tuesday January 30, 2024 @10:26AM (#39191190)
What does it matter if it's calibrated on earth? If the problem is the antenna pattern, influence of the rover itself, etc, why can't it be calibrated with the exact duplicate of the rover we have?
Re:Hopes for Finding Mars Life After Rover's Ground-Penetrat... by pvaldes on Wednesday January 31, 2024 @07:14AM (#39202846)
different gravity
Re:Hopes for Finding Mars Life After Rover's Ground-Penetrat... by czbond on Tuesday January 30, 2024 @09:49AM (#39190689)
Oh interesting - so Earth calibrated systems expect... a specific density for display of signals?
Re:Hopes for Finding Mars Life After Rover's Ground-Penetrat... by throwup238 on Tuesday January 30, 2024 @10:01AM (#39190843)
Radio waves propagate at different speeds through different mediums so the GPR gain and time window have to be calibrated for each soil type and other environmental factors like how wet the ground is. Once calibrated, then any deviations become interesting. Otherwise it’s just a bunch of sensor noise.
Re:Hopes for Finding Mars Life After Rover's Ground-Penetrat... by neom on Tuesday January 30, 2024 @10:08AM (#39190930)
Are you insinuating that NASA sent an incorrectly calibrated device? I know NASA has its flaws but this seems like a stretch no?
Re:Hopes for Finding Mars Life After Rover's Ground-Penetrat... by Shinmon on Tuesday January 30, 2024 @12:10PM (#39192669)
NASA isn't doing anything here but providing the platform for the instrument.I mean, that's a lot but they are not the one in charge of running the instrument. The science teams are. GPR is a complex topic and *maybe* these signals contain the information that they think they do, but it's unlikely in my opinion.
Re:Hopes for Finding Mars Life After Rover's Ground-Penetrat... by koheripbal on Tuesday January 30, 2024 @10:14AM (#39191010)
I think he means it would need to be calibrated on Mars as the exact ground density and composition isnt known from earth
Re:Hopes for Finding Mars Life After Rover's Ground-Penetrat... by throwup238 on Tuesday January 30, 2024 @10:19AM (#39191081)
Correct. The easiest way to calibrate a GPR is to stick a metal plate in the ground and cover it with a few feet of earth dug up on location. Can’t do that with some awkward rovers and an experimental helicopter.

NASA can do some fancy signal processing to get some useful data but until its properly calibrated, any interpretation of that data especially visual should be taken with a Phobos sized grain of salt.

Re:Hopes for Finding Mars Life After Rover's Ground-Penetrat... by sgc on Tuesday January 30, 2024 @12:36PM (#39193058)
I still don't understand. Even if you are off about density, aren't you studying the differences in density, so that the image you generate would still be showing where those differences are located relative to each other -- even if scale might be somewhat off if you have your base density off? It doesn't seem like it would be abject failure, but more like incrementally less useful. It sounds like you are saying it is almost at abject failure on the scale of usefulness.
Re:Hopes for Finding Mars Life After Rover's Ground-Penetrat... by Shinmon on Tuesday January 30, 2024 @02:16PM (#39194339)
Yes and no. The radar isn’t only looking down into the ground. The antenna pattern has side lobes which can potentially generate large echos in the radargram, e.g. from rocks on the surface etc. you only know that there is something in some distance (or rather time delay).

The useful signal is extremely weak anyway and the clutter from the surface hides the useful signal in many cases unless you habe really strong scatterers (large and highly reflective) buried in the ground.

Re:Hopes for Finding Mars Life After Rover's Ground-Penetrat... by leansensei on Friday February 02, 2024 @01:08AM (#39225628)
Plenty of commercial GPR devices operate on Earth just fine with the explicit goal to detect changes in the subsurface's dielectric properties. It doesn't matter if you're on Mars or here, GPR works in the same way and I'm pretty sure that the antenna and the signal processing has been designed for the purpose, possibly even more meticulously than the antennas of commercial GPR pushcarts. Your comment makes something simple sound highly involved and problematic.
Re:Hopes for Finding Mars Life After Rover's Ground-Penetrat... by leansensei on Friday February 02, 2024 @01:10AM (#39225635)
Your understanding is correct. It's about detecting variations in dielectric properties across layer interfaces. GPR works just fine for that, whether here or on Mars. The other commenter's negativity and theorized worries about side lobes and reflectors are unwarranted.