Re:Ask HN: Are you an optimist for the next 10 years?
by codingclaws on Friday January 12, 2024 @08:39PM
(#38976514)
We need AGI/ASI to hit and be a good thing.
[ Parent
| on HN ]
Re:Ask HN: Are you an optimist for the next 10 years?
by muzani on Friday January 12, 2024 @09:37PM
(#38976817)
Why would it be a good thing?
Re:Ask HN: Are you an optimist for the next 10 years?
by precedentmorsel on Friday January 12, 2024 @09:59PM
(#38976926)
if executed correctly, it could be a good thing
Re:Ask HN: Are you an optimist for the next 10 years?
by muzani on Friday January 12, 2024 @11:32PM
(#38977347)
but what is the good thing? I mean everyone expects more wealth, but technological revolutions usually lead to inequality, a drop in average quality of life, and corruption.
Re:Ask HN: Are you an optimist for the next 10 years?
by precedentmorsel on Saturday January 13, 2024 @12:16AM
(#38977534)
which technological revolutions have lead to this?
Re:Ask HN: Are you an optimist for the next 10 years?
by smoldesu on Sunday January 14, 2024 @01:32PM
(#38993009)
Usually the ones that happen at a whiplash pace, like Mao's cultural revolution or the introduction of firearms to Native American populations. New technology needs time to mature and be rationalized by society at-large. Aviation and computing are both good examples, which had half-century long development phases before breaking into the consumer market and (finally) improving quality-of-life for everyone.
AI is just going to exist and rapidly develop outside the scrutiny of standardization. If you're a libertarian or venture capitalist it's probably your wet dream, but if planes and computers were developed like that then we probably still wouldn't have smartphones and passenger jets in 2024.