Bayesians Moving from Defense to Offense

Re:Bayesians Moving from Defense to Offense by scotty79 on Tuesday December 26, 2023 @04:52AM (#38770318)

For me it looks a bit as if whether Schrodinger's cat is dead or alive depended on chosen set of coordinates.

I know it's not like that. But it's still weird that at the end of Bayesian analysis the best you can deliver is if-by-whiskey style deliberation.

I know it's still valuable. Just weird.

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Re:Bayesians Moving from Defense to Offense by kgwgk on Tuesday December 26, 2023 @05:26AM (#38770481)

Note that there is no way to answer the question “what’s the probability of X conditional on the data observed” without taking into account “what was the probability of X before that observation”.

The thing with non-Bayesian analysis is that they don’t answer at all the question “what’s the probability of X conditional on the data observed”.

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