South Korea to see population plummet to 1970s levels, government says

Re:South Korea to see population plummet to 1970s levels, go... by sneed_chucker on Friday December 15, 2023 @05:01PM (#38659351)

South Korea isn't special for having bad demographics, it's just farther along the curve.

Every single industrialized country is well below replacement rate TFR. The fact that modern society has this effect on fertility is something that every affected country is going to have to address sooner or later.

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Re:South Korea to see population plummet to 1970s levels, go... by matrix87 on Friday December 15, 2023 @05:35PM (#38659674)

I don't think there's a monotonic curve where more development leads to lower fertility. Both Sweden and New Zealand have higher HDIs than SK, but their fertility rates are higher than many countries which are considered less developed

I mean, there's definitely a correlation globally speaking, but after a certain point of development (e.g countries with HDI 0.8 and above) it looks like the correlation isn't as strong

Edit: this Wikipedia page shows what I'm referring to, see section on Contrary Findings -> J-curve https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Income_and_fertility

You can see on the chart, for HDIs >= 0.8 there isn't a visible trend of decrease to the level where SK is currently

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Re:South Korea to see population plummet to 1970s levels, go... by fakedang on Friday December 15, 2023 @06:01PM (#38659945)

Swedish fertility rate could also be driven by immigration numbers. And considering a significant fraction of Swedish immigrants don't even know the language, that's definitely going to be a skewed number.

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