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Re:The X Prize is taking aim at aging with a new $101M award by daynthelife on Sunday December 03, 2023 @12:29PM (#38508835)
This is probably a controversial opinion, but I think we should be careful what we wish for. Death is a necessary part of life. Without it, society will stagnate, overpopulation will become even more rampant, resources will become more scarce, and dictators will hold power for unbounded lengths of time.

As hard as it is to say for someone whose mom is battling cancer, I feel similarly about a complete cure for cancer. Death ultimately needs a way to come for us all. The alternative is so much worse.

Re:The X Prize is taking aim at aging with a new $101M award by ben_w on Sunday December 03, 2023 @03:49PM (#38510618)
This is just about age, not all forms of mortality. Even if you cured all diseases as well aging, humans would still have a roughly 50% chance of dying from accidents and homicides and suicides in any given 1000 year period… assuming current rates for homicides, suicides, and fatal accidents, which is a terrible assumption given how much they changed in the previous 1000 years.

> resources will become more scarce

No more so than the same total population aging normally. And as we're already below replacement rates in developed nations, no risk of that happening before some other radical change to the human condition (like mind uploading, WW3, Von Neumann probes on the positive side, or the consequences of existing consumption on the negative) gets in the way first.

Re:The X Prize is taking aim at aging with a new $101M award by ben_w on Monday December 04, 2023 @05:22AM (#38515628)
I've just realised I put WW3 in the positive list, thanks to not proof-reading correctly. And now the edit window has closed, I'm suck with that forever…
Re:The X Prize is taking aim at aging with a new $101M award by webmaven on Sunday December 03, 2023 @02:11PM (#38509803)
Worth noting that the criteria being measured for success, while they may indicate "reverse aging" by decades, probably won't delay death by anywhere near as much.

In other words, extending healthspan is not the same as extending lifespan.

Re:The X Prize is taking aim at aging with a new $101M award by kiba on Sunday December 03, 2023 @03:05PM (#38510251)
Healthspan are likely strongly correlated to lifespan, especially if it reverse aging by decades.
Re:The X Prize is taking aim at aging with a new $101M award by webmaven on Monday December 04, 2023 @02:40AM (#38514639)
Consider the many causes of death that may not be strongly negatively correlated with the particular metrics being targeted here, like accidents, heart disease, or stroke.

An improved immune system response (aimed at infectious diseases) may also do well at suppressing cancer rates (2nd leading cause of death), or if not, may at least improve remission or survival rates for treatments, but that is somewhat speculative, and you might also (or instead) get an increase in various autoimmune problems.

So, from a "reversal" of a decade or more of aging by those measures, you might find that longevity is only increased by a couple of years.

Re:The X Prize is taking aim at aging with a new $101M award by taosx on Sunday December 03, 2023 @12:40PM (#38508949)
We don't even know what a world with less death would look like, if we could be able to delay death, why wouldn't then be able to focus on stagnation, overpopulation and resources. And if something can be done I believe it will be done, if we want it or not.

I'm really sorry to hear about your mom. It's tough to see a loved one going through something like that. Wishing her strength and recovery, and hoping you get to spend many more happy moments together.

Re:The X Prize is taking aim at aging with a new $101M award by jazzyjackson on Sunday December 03, 2023 @01:47PM (#38509595)
check out season one of "Altered Carbon" for an imaginative take on life extension. The rich are immortal, and keeping you alive can be used against you, resuscitating you against your will.
Re:The X Prize is taking aim at aging with a new $101M award by TheCoelacanth on Sunday December 03, 2023 @01:31PM (#38509469)
Overpopulation is a nonsense concern. The world population is on track to peak at a level only marginally higher than the current population.

The parts of the world rich enough to afford state-of-the-art medical treatments mostly have declining populations and the exceptions are only growing through immigration.

If anything, anti-aging treatments likely would mitigate some future population concerns by giving more time for the economy to adapt to a shrinking population.

Re:The X Prize is taking aim at aging with a new $101M award by RecycledEle on Sunday December 03, 2023 @02:48PM (#38510094)
Very true.

The most important book written in the 21st Century is Dr. Robert Zubrin's "Merchants of Despair." Just read the first chapter is all you need to absorb.

OTOH, I would love for someone to disprove Dr. Zubrin's claims.

Re:The X Prize is taking aim at aging with a new $101M award by daynthelife on Monday December 04, 2023 @11:36AM (#38519399)
> The world population is on track to peak at a level only marginally higher than the current population.

What makes you assume that trajectory will continue if the average lifespan suddenly increases 3-5x?

Re:The X Prize is taking aim at aging with a new $101M award by kiba on Sunday December 03, 2023 @01:15PM (#38509336)
This is probably a controversial opinion, but I think we should be careful what we wish for. Death is a necessary part of life. Without it, society will stagnate, overpopulation will become even more rampant, resources will become more scarce, and dictators will hold power for unbounded lengths of time.

No. The controversial opinion is saying that death is unnecessary. Your opinion represent the 'mainstream' opinion. I would argue that it's status quo bias, or justification and rationalization for having death.

Humans are very good at justifying things after the fact.

But taking a look at the individual objections, it either falls apart or a lot more complicated than you think. For example, the fear of societal stagnation. I think this is an overblown concern. People are always changing, however slowly and imperceptible it may be. An 80 years old is going to think very differently than 8 years ago.

People are always worried about overpopulation, but you know who pollute the most? Rich countries. The richer you are, the more meat you eat, the more 'resources' you consume. Currently, overpopulation is really about pollution than running out of raw resources, such metals and minerals and energy. We would overheat ourselves before running out of space. Obviously, there's going to be a finite limit, but that limit is so far off that it's basically ludicrous to think about.

Dictatorships holding power for unbounded length of time? Sure, dictators might live forever, but it's clear that their society often basically 'stagnate', more like went backward. If you see North Korea and South Korea, you know that South Korea have more lights. Plus, just because you're a dictatorship doesn't mean it's a stable governing structure. There are dictatorships and military junta that are short lived or had been overthrown. Dictators can blunder into serious strategic mistakes, like Mr. Putin. Some even voluntarily democratized, like Taiwan!

Human societies are inherently dynamic system that changes over time. It would be difficult to imagine a system that somehow managed to keep things exactly the same. There's always room for disruption.

Re:The X Prize is taking aim at aging with a new $101M award by RecycledEle on Sunday December 03, 2023 @02:54PM (#38510154)
I disagree.

When a dictator dies, there is tremendous disruption that often leads to a replacement of the ruling junta.

Taiwan's government lost a fight with the communist revolutionaries and allied themselves with whoever they needed to to survive. Elections were a means to an end for Taiwan.