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Re:Is There a Y Combinator Valuation Bubble or Not? by kapilkale on Monday April 16, 2012 @05:19PM (#3849500)
I'm guessing, due to Paul G's awesome track record, that 50% of YC startups will get A rounds (I pulled that number out of the air, someone fact check me).

Not accurate. Out of ~45 companies in the W11 batch I think 4-8 have raised A rounds. There's still time for others, but I don't think there's any way that number will approach 20+.

Re:Is There a Y Combinator Valuation Bubble or Not? by tptacek on Monday April 16, 2012 @05:40PM (#3849610)
Isn't that in part because the pre-A funding options have gotten so much better? In the early 00's, a normal progression might have been "~100-500k angel", followed by "2MM-4MM A". Now it's "~100-200k seed", followed by "up to maybe 1.5MM in rolling convertable note financing", so that by the time you need to pull the trigger on an A, you're already pretty far down the road.
Re:Is There a Y Combinator Valuation Bubble or Not? by pg on Monday April 16, 2012 @10:26PM (#3850704)
Yes, that's true. A rounds are becoming de facto B rounds.

If Jason had written that 50% of companies would raise an amount of money that a few years ago would have meant an A round, he might have been close to the truth, but I don't think 50% will raise money using documents that say "Series A" on them.

Re:Is There a Y Combinator Valuation Bubble or Not? by danssig on Tuesday April 17, 2012 @11:46AM (#3853128)
Who do I need to talk to for that kind of seed? :)
Re:Is There a Y Combinator Valuation Bubble or Not? by tptacek on Tuesday April 17, 2012 @12:37PM (#3853434)
Look one comment up.
Re:Is There a Y Combinator Valuation Bubble or Not? by danssig on Wednesday April 18, 2012 @07:39AM (#3857460)
My understanding of "seed" was that it was used to get the thing off the ground, i.e. "I don't even have a real demo yet, but I really believe in this". I don't think YC is going to let you in on that, right? Even if they do, forcing me to move back to the US for 3 months is a pretty steep price. :(
Re:Is There a Y Combinator Valuation Bubble or Not? by jasonmcalacanis on Monday April 16, 2012 @06:27PM (#3849818)
Thanks for the fact check. When folks raise their angel rounds they have 18 months or runway, so I could see the 6 turning in 20. Which might be 1/3rd. Raising an A-Round is HARD because VCs only do 1.5 deals a year each individually (10 boards/investments over the lift of a 7-10 year fund).
Re:Is There a Y Combinator Valuation Bubble or Not? by kapilkale on Monday April 16, 2012 @07:47PM (#3850119)
Right, but (anecdotally) many won't because of dilution / board control issues that come with raising VC. Raising 1.5M in notes / AA may be enough to hit profitability.