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Re:After OpenAI's blowup, it seems pretty clear that 'AI saf... by mountainriver on Thursday November 23, 2023 @04:52PM (#38397974)
How would all signs possibly be pointing to a longer timeline?

3-4 years ago everyone thought it was 50-100 years away. Now with GPT-4 that timeline has radically shifted.

The rate of improvement in this space right now is like nothing we’ve ever seen. All signs are quite literally pointing to us getting there by the end of the decade if not much sooner

Re:After OpenAI's blowup, it seems pretty clear that 'AI saf... by peyton on Friday November 24, 2023 @02:05AM (#38401315)
We’re actually maybe a little behind schedule if you look at the “with funding” case from the AGI-09 conference survey: https://sethbaum.com/ac/2011_AI-Experts.pdf

Matches my recollection. The field is prone to hype cycles.