Re:I Got the Fed to Release Its 2011 "Treasury Default" Play...
by JumpCrisscross on Tuesday November 07, 2023 @05:51PM
(#38184200)
> include ordering the Fed to honor Treasury overdrafts
The Treasury hasn't come close to proposing over drafting. It would sell Treasuries and then have cash. If that became problematic, it would mint. The Fed cannot, by law, lend money to the Treasury. It can't even purchase Treasuries from them directly.
Re:I Got the Fed to Release Its 2011 "Treasury Default" Play...
by topspin on Tuesday November 07, 2023 @06:23PM
(#38184546)
By law the US government cannot permit default. Does that give the executive the power to trump limits on the Fed?
We'll see.
Others argue minting is more palatable. I think legally that's true. I think politically that's false: there is a visceral reaction to any talk of "printing." The various euphemistic ways the Fed can handle it will be preferred. Of course it will end up in front of SCOTUS, but that's a political win: SCOTUS becomes the bad gus trying to "destroy democracy". Or something.
Re:I Got the Fed to Release Its 2011 "Treasury Default" Play...
by JumpCrisscross on Tuesday November 07, 2023 @06:31PM
(#38184618)
> Does that give the executive the power to trump limits on the Fed?
The point is it’s unnecessary.
Thus, the "extraordinary steps" I mentioned. Some have argued the executive has the authority to do any conceivable thing necessary to ensure that the "validity of the public debt ... shall not be questioned," to include ordering the Fed to honor Treasury overdrafts.
Another extraordinary step by the Treasury would be minting legal tender and depositing it with the Fed. The so called "trillion dollar coin" scheme.
At the end of the day they'll do what they have to do. This story makes it very clear that the Fed is not interested in becoming the political target over US default, so don't imagine they're going to take some heroic stand.