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Re:Telling GPT-4 you're scared or under pressure improves pe... by ethbr1 on Saturday November 04, 2023 @08:32AM (#38140453)
I'd phrase characterizing the reliability of out-of-sample performance a priori as impossible, but not necessarily automatically failing.

There may be a subtle correlation between properties needed to answer a specific out-of-sample request and in-sample features.

Unfortunately, prior to training/testing and without recognizing that correlation in the data set, I believe it's impossible to guarantee the model will include it. (Corrections welcome)

Re:Telling GPT-4 you're scared or under pressure improves pe... by intended on Saturday November 04, 2023 @08:56AM (#38140633)
In essence: “You cant know in advance how far the model can approximate semantic patterns”

So claiming that out-of-sample performance is a mirage, would be a bridge too far?

Re:Telling GPT-4 you're scared or under pressure improves pe... by ethbr1 on Saturday November 04, 2023 @09:16AM (#38140751)
Maybe "a mirage that might actually be true"? Which is a terrible thing to rely on! Unless it's usually true?
Re:Telling GPT-4 you're scared or under pressure improves pe... by intended on Saturday November 04, 2023 @01:05PM (#38142918)
That measurement is the core of my current tasks. If you don’t know the error rate - then what are you doing ?
Re:Telling GPT-4 you're scared or under pressure improves pe... by ethbr1 on Saturday November 04, 2023 @02:07PM (#38143614)
Delivering what some executive promised when they told investors 'the company is using AI.' /s
Re:Telling GPT-4 you're scared or under pressure improves pe... by intended on Saturday November 04, 2023 @03:23PM (#38144252)
A Virtual beer/poison of choice to you and mjburgess in this thread.