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Re:Fine, I'll run a regression analysis. But it won't make y... by slv77 on Monday October 02, 2023 @12:55AM (#37734148)
Discrete event simulations is used to get better utilization of a constrained resource. The fact that hospitals were using it just reinforces that ICU capacity was considered a serious constraint by policymakers. Discrete event simulation will give policy makers more confidence in capacity models but doesn’t improve patient outcomes or reduce treatment time.

Hospital protocols also improved over time to reduce the need for respirators and the disease moderated but there was no magic protocol that really reduced disease progression or duration. Out of my social circle there were anti-vaxers that contracted covid late in the pandemic and spent weeks in the hospital (four total, two deaths) even with late stage protocols.

Re:Fine, I'll run a regression analysis. But it won't make y... by firesteelrain on Monday October 02, 2023 @05:44AM (#37735985)
It is not for constrained resources. You might be thinking of linear programming. It deals in constraints to achieve an objective. Discrete event simulation deals in queues.
Re:Fine, I'll run a regression analysis. But it won't make y... by slv77 on Monday October 02, 2023 @07:19PM (#37745779)
In this case the queue was wait time for an ICU bed and the simulation allowed them to better model how events (infection, admission, resolution) would impact ICU wait times. This allowed policymakers to better understand the tipping point where ICU wait times went non-linear.