Re:Charlie Munger: Turning $2M Into $2T
by bluesign on Wednesday September 20, 2023 @01:55PM
(#37587421)
Problem is flipping the coin 20 times. I don’t think even 1 in 100 million would do that.
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Re:Charlie Munger: Turning $2M Into $2T
by sdfghswe on Wednesday September 20, 2023 @02:06PM
(#37587620)
> Problem is flipping the coin 20 times. I don’t think even 1 in 100 million would do that.
2^20 = 1048576
So roughly 1 in 1 million.
You're off by 100x.
Re:Charlie Munger: Turning $2M Into $2T
by EddTheSDET on Wednesday September 20, 2023 @02:11PM
(#37587694)
I believe OP is talking about the human emotion of flipping that coin the 19th time (or indeed the 18th, or 17th...). While the math might be as simple as doubling x times it's very different to actually do it!
Re:Charlie Munger: Turning $2M Into $2T
by sdfghswe on Wednesday September 20, 2023 @02:37PM
(#37588095)
Are you forced to bet everything on every flip?
Re:Charlie Munger: Turning $2M Into $2T
by sokoloff on Wednesday September 20, 2023 @02:50PM
(#37588334)
If your goal is to double your money on each successful flip (as implied in [0]), then yes.
Re:Charlie Munger: Turning $2M Into $2T
by AdamN on Wednesday September 20, 2023 @02:53PM
(#37588385)
I think that's the implication:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/St._Petersburg_paradox
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Martingale_(betting_system)
Re:Charlie Munger: Turning $2M Into $2T
by brigadier132 on Wednesday September 20, 2023 @03:13PM
(#37588676)
That's where skill comes in and invalidates the point that it's all luck.