News for hackers. Stuff that matters.
Re:America's advanced manufacturing problem and how to fix it by stouset on Saturday September 16, 2023 @10:22PM (#37540862)
> I own 100 shares of Apple… Tim Cook goes on CNBC and says he’s all in on printers. So I want to sell my Apple shares and buy Microsoft. I’m being a smart investor.

No, you’re being a schmuck.

The market moved on that information well before you saw it on the news, loaded up your web browser, and executed the transaction.

Time and time and time again it has been demonstrated that actively trading is negatively correlated with performance. The more frequent you trade, the statistically worse you do.

Besides being empirically true, it makes intuitive sense. Every time you trade you’re engaging with a counter party on the other side of the transaction. With overwhelming likelihood, that counterparty has disproportionately greater (and timelier) access to information and market analysis than you. So every time you trade, you do so at a steep disadvantage.

Invest in the market. Buy and hold. Sell to finance your retirement. Save the gambling for your Vegas fund, not your life savings.

Re:America's advanced manufacturing problem and how to fix it by twoodfin on Saturday September 16, 2023 @10:38PM (#37540948)
Sorry a colorful example seems to have gone over your head: A financial transaction tax dulls the market response to new information. The primary purpose of markets is to translate information into prices.

Markets that are less efficient in that task hurt long-term retirement investors and day-traders alike.

Re:America's advanced manufacturing problem and how to fix it by avs733 on Sunday September 17, 2023 @12:27AM (#37541523)
I would caution you against assuming disagreement is misunderstanding,

A spring only suspension system responds quickly to a bump in the road. If that’s your only metric, it’s good. But a car without a damper is going to be hella uncomfortable. The shock makes it respond slower - it doesn’t mean it doesn’t respond.

Re:America's advanced manufacturing problem and how to fix it by MoreSEMI on Sunday September 17, 2023 @03:57AM (#37542606)
Uuuu, While the analogy is nice, I doubt that taxes are decided upon like an engineer deciding on damping coefficients. An engineer has a specification and tries to hit that spec. I have a hard time believing that’s how taxes are set. I would like carbon taxs/credits to be decided upon that way. But if you look at the real systems it’s obvious they weren’t designed that way. Finally, you are correct that you need to be careful in choosing the metric. I think I would also question the desirability of dampinh, which it seems like the other poster was trying to say. The market being dumber is a slower response in your analogy. They want a sports car, not a rolls.
Re:America's advanced manufacturing problem and how to fix it by avs733 on Sunday September 17, 2023 @09:34AM (#37544905)
I wanted a sports car as a teenagers and my parents gave me a minivan. It wasn’t what I wanted but it’s likely the reason I’m alive today.

The point of governance to some extent is dealing with the tension between what competing groups of people say they want and actually need

Re:America's advanced manufacturing problem and how to fix it by stouset on Sunday September 17, 2023 @02:17AM (#37542047)
> Markets that are less efficient in that task hurt long-term retirement investors and day-traders alike.

On some level this is true, but the insane quantities being siphoned out of the economy through the financial system is wildly disproportionate to the increasingly-infinitesimal gains in “price efficiency”.

As a long-term investor in the market as a whole, whether Apple’s true per-share value today is 175.01 and not 175.07 is almost completely irrelevant. Even less so the difference between 175.008913 and 175.008916.

We have long since passed a point where there is sufficient liquidity and sufficient price discovery for the purpose of buy-and-hold investment, and every extra dollar that goes to financial services in the name of more accurately determining prices is just a transfer of money from people who provide value to the economy to a class of leeches who provide nearly nothing.

Re:America's advanced manufacturing problem and how to fix it by RandomLensman on Sunday September 17, 2023 @07:35AM (#37543917)
The money is not siphoned out of the economy (unless it all leaves the US/World). The money made in finance is just as any other money, i.e., it is used to consume, invest, save etc.

Btw., no-one is forced to trade incessantly, either.

Re:America's advanced manufacturing problem and how to fix it by stouset on Sunday September 17, 2023 @11:54AM (#37546409)
The money technically being “in the economy” is cold comfort to the workers whose COL has steadily increased while wages have remained flat.
Re:America's advanced manufacturing problem and how to fix it by twoodfin on Sunday September 17, 2023 @06:12PM (#37549817)
Re:America's advanced manufacturing problem and how to fix it by inetknght on Sunday September 17, 2023 @11:54AM (#37546420)
> The market moved on that information well before you saw it on the news, loaded up your web browser, and executed the transaction.

Sounds like insider trading to me.

Re:America's advanced manufacturing problem and how to fix it by stouset on Sunday September 17, 2023 @12:42PM (#37546959)
So for starters, insider trading exists and while it would be great to live in a world where it doesn’t, we live in this world where it certainly does.

Second, even in a magical world where this doesn’t happen, institutional investors have literal teams of analysts working for them. They have bots responding to news reports and public filings, and the lowest latency possible connections to trading platforms.

You have none of this.