I was referring to the collapse (significant degradation) of the environmental carrying capacity. In such a scenario, our civilization would implode on its own.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qPb_0JZ6-Rc
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ecological_overshoot
https://www.stuartmcmillen.com/comic/st-matthew-island/
> But feel free to try and change my view
It's a complex topic ... I only can give you a few links. The system we live in is very complex ... and as in every complex system even a minor error can cripple the system. Just remember how much damage to the economy was caused by just one ship blocking the Suez.
I don't think the system is able to handle large-scale agricultural failures, prolonged droughts or abrupt sea level rises. Everything seems to be changing more rapidly than predicted - from air and sea temperatures to thawing, droughts, biodiversity loss, etc.
https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2023/07/climate-...
Climate Collapse Could Happen Fast - As temperature and weather records fall, Earth may be nearing so-called tipping points.
https://www.livescience.com/planet-earth/climate-change/cata...
Catastrophic climate 'doom loops' could start in just 15 years, new study warns
https://www.iflscience.com/chances-of-societal-collapse-in-n...
Chances Of Societal Collapse In Next Few Decades Is Sky High, Modelling Suggests
https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.2108146119
Climate Endgame: Exploring catastrophic climate change scenarios
https://www.mdpi.com/2673-4060/4/3/32
The Human Ecology of Overshoot: Why a Major ‘Population Correction’ Is Inevitable
https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.1810141115
Trajectories of the Earth System in the Anthropocene
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41893-023-01157-x
Earlier collapse of Anthropocene ecosystems driven by multiple faster and noisier drivers
https://apnews.com/article/climate-united-nations-paris-euro...
UN warns Earth ‘firmly on track toward an unlivable world’
https://advisory.kpmg.us/articles/2021/limits-to-growth.html
Limits to Growth
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2023/jul/09/the-planet-...
The planet heats, the world economy cools – the real global recession is ecological
https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-019-01448-4
Humans are driving one million species to extinction
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2022/oct/13/almost-7...
Animal populations experience average decline of almost 70% since 1970, report reveals
https://dothemath.ucsd.edu/2023/08/ecological-cliff-edge/
Ecological cliff edge
I don't buy into that at all; massive waves of climate refugees, environmental disasters, loss of coastal urban space, economical crises: sure-- but collapse of civilization?! I simply don't see that happening, to me that appears like completely unfounded pessimism.
But feel free to try and change my view...