The fact that we treat diagnostic results the same regardless of priors just means our medical system is still stuck in the stone age
Saying the screenings aren't recommended is just saying "we're too dumb to use the results of this screening the correct way, so you shouldn't get the screening"
We can only hope that the new developments in AI will mean that modern statistical procedures will finally be applied to medicine as a side effect (though I wouldn't hold my breath)
I agree with this. One day we might be smart enough. But they say is not today. It’s ok to be dumb.
It’s also dumb to spend thousands of dollars on these diagnostic scans that we’re too dumb to use.
We can plan around our stupidity. We can also research new ways to use these data and, hopefully, one day be less dumb.
Then a more reasonable step is not to get the scan. Why do the scan if you don’t follow up.
This is why not all screenings are recommended. People think that insurance won’t pay for scans because insurance is a jerk. They don’t pay because the scans aren’t medically effective at protecting populations.