Similar, I recall hearing 2k years on some program. No source. The idea was that accidental deaths will happen. On mobile, but you could look up accidental death records to get the rate and then project out average lifespan.

Still, that is averages. A cruel despot may never leave their palace fearing death and will always have security. They will have less opportunities for accidents.

Percent of all deaths that are caused by injuries: 7.85%

Current global median life expectancy: 75.2 years

LE/I%: ~958 years.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_causes_of_death_by_rat...

Same but assuming we can avoid transport accidents, ~1354 years.

Interesting to see hard numbers for this, I always felt like those LOTR elves living for 10,000 years in a war torn world is laughably improbable from a statistical perspective.

Tolkien's elves were also (somewhat?) magic, and the designated firstborn of the creator god Ilúvatar with various gifts, seemingly including awareness and dexterity exceeding anything a human could ever do.