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A comment on First claimed successful replication of LK-99 superconductivity (includes video). Parent comment

Re:First claimed successful replication of LK-99 superconduc... by cubefox on Tuesday August 01, 2023 @01:32PM (#36959353)
The markets still favor people who read and understand the papers. Admittedly, that will be a few solid-state physicists only.
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Re:First claimed successful replication of LK-99 superconduc... by bhaak on Wednesday August 02, 2023 @08:09AM (#36969750)
Yes, people with knowledge of the topic can make money from that if the prediction market trends towards the wrong answer.

But that is not how those prediction markets are used. You see arguments like "the prediction markets give only 20% for this to be true" and people take that as "it is untrue". Without any qualifier (it also doesn't help that most people don't understand statistics).

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