I don't know if I found Lego or Lego found me, but I definitely think in terms of shapes. I was past my midlife crisis before I realized that I don't have a large working memory (smaller than average in fact) it's just that I've been doing mind palaces without pictures since I was very small. When I'm thinking of large computer systems I'm essentially thinking of them as physics problems.
I really should figure out space to have a bike again. I never rode when I lived in Seattle (Seattle drivers are nuts) but I don't live there anymore and I need to catch up on 20 years of tech.
You're looking at the macro "It's all in tension" (superposition of two states) and hinkley is looking at the "bottom is a compressive change" (dynamic portion of the load).
What I'm not clear of is if you think that the upper spokes change tension between the unloaded case and the plain gravity load case (force on hub down, ground on rim up at the bottom), or if you expect the top half spokes to increase and the bottom half to decrease in tension. I think this is what hinkley thinks you think.
A bike wheel is a linear elastic system, that can be thought of as a superposition of a uniformly set of tensioned spokes as one state, and a set of spokes in compression in the loaded zone (bottom of the wheel) as the other state. So long as the superposition of the two states obeys the limiting conditions (i.e. spokes in tension) they can be analysed separately.
The size of the loaded zone is related to the relative stiffness of the spokes (axial) and the rim (bending), and can be calculated using beam on elastic foundation methods. For typical rim/spoke combinations, this is approximately 4 spokes.
Outside of the loaded zone, spoke tensions essentially don’t change.