Re:Medicaid Could Save $2.6B Within a Year If Just 1% of Rec...
by photonerd on Wednesday July 26, 2023 @02:08AM
(#36873664)
It’s assuming the 1% of smokers who are recipients are evenly distributed (statistically speaking) across the smoking population. A quite reasonable assumption.
Therefore, to generally reduce the population of recipients you’d have to reduce the population of smokers.
Unless you have data showing a specific population skew or sampling issue I’d say it is perfectly good math, albeit with an assumption.
Now, of course, you could simply deny service to 1% of smokers who would be recipients—or other extremely skewed sampling attacks—but that is somewhat unlikely and in most cases directly against the goals of the program.
Therefore, to generally reduce the population of recipients you’d have to reduce the population of smokers.
Unless you have data showing a specific population skew or sampling issue I’d say it is perfectly good math, albeit with an assumption.
Now, of course, you could simply deny service to 1% of smokers who would be recipients—or other extremely skewed sampling attacks—but that is somewhat unlikely and in most cases directly against the goals of the program.