Medicaid Could Save $2.6B Within a Year If Just 1% of Recipients Quit Smoking

Re:Medicaid Could Save $2.6B Within a Year If Just 1% of Rec... by MightyBuzzard on Tuesday July 25, 2023 @02:57PM (#36867595)

Your math is bad. 1% of recipients is nowhere near the same as the 1% of smokers you used.

[ Parent | on HN ]

Re:Medicaid Could Save $2.6B Within a Year If Just 1% of Rec... by photonerd on Wednesday July 26, 2023 @02:08AM (#36873664)

It’s assuming the 1% of smokers who are recipients are evenly distributed (statistically speaking) across the smoking population. A quite reasonable assumption.

Therefore, to generally reduce the population of recipients you’d have to reduce the population of smokers.

Unless you have data showing a specific population skew or sampling issue I’d say it is perfectly good math, albeit with an assumption.

Now, of course, you could simply deny service to 1% of smokers who would be recipients—or other extremely skewed sampling attacks—but that is somewhat unlikely and in most cases directly against the goals of the program.

[ Parent | on HN ]