I think you are completely wrong and in a few days Threads will be forgotten just like Vision Pro was. Hard to take opinion’s seriously when they’ve been clearly influenced by the media machine.

Nobody is going to give up their real estate on Twitter just because Instagram added a “create a text-based Insta account” button.

Let that sink in…

I would agree if A) Threads didn't just add 100M users overnight, and B) if Twitter wasn't a spam-filled shitshow.

It's undeniable that Twitter is a failing product. Their advertisements are literal basement-tier garbage... I see the type of ads that normally fill your spam inbox. The blue checkmarks seem like they're all Elon sycophants and thus you are forced to interact with a bunch of weirdos as the top replies to any post. It just feels like walking into a Walmart at 1am, vs Threads which feels like Target on a weekday.

“100M users” … okay then.

Like I said, it will be forgotten in a few days so enjoy the wave because it is coming down.

And mind you, I have zero investment in either of the platforms. I just happen to be able to have a neutral discernment of the situation.

A neutral discernment wouldn’t state that 100m user platform will be forgotten about in mere days. You are unwilling or unable to provide a realistic timeline. You are getting downvoted due to the bad faith argument.

I kinda like ads I am getting on twitter now. For me, it gives goofy t-shirts mostly and some goofy mugs.

People really just like the drama, you can tell with the “smells blood in the water” bit.

“Threads will be forgotten just like Vision Pro was”

This statement makes absolutely no sense, considering you are using the past tense to refer to a product that hasn’t even been built and released yet.

It makes perfect sense. I predicted Vision Pro will get cut off and forgotten and now I am doing the same for Threads.

It’s only my opinion, don’t get worked up about it.

I’m not worked up, just confused. What has Vision Pro, an unreleased product, been cut off and forgotten from?

Maybe he's referring to media hype. It lasted about a week, and now it's gone. I know you can't buy it or use it yet, but it feels like the announcement never happened.

Similar for Bluesky. Everybody queuing to get in, but after weeks on the waiting list and still no sign of life, the moment is gone.

And Threads is a released product? It has nothing but “posts” and “Instagram_users” in its DB schema.

(Off-topic warning) the speed of your reply implies to me that you have some way of being directly notified of HN replies. What software do you use for that and do you like it?

(Not who you asked. I do not use this but have seen it referenced.)

https://www.hnreplies.com/

For what it's worth, I will sometimes just check the "threads" link at the top of the page and happen to see a response minutes ago (or less) to my comments. It's possible that happened here.

Existing inside a media hype bubble does wonders for traction, but it's not the only way a platform gains users. It also happens when your friends keeps linking you to the posts they read on it.

Twitter is looking more and more like a dead mall with the most insane possible management. Diehard shoppers huddled the last couple active sections.

This is not good the internet. But the further consolidation is on Elon's hands, not metas. If want a healthy internet back it's gonna take bell labs levels of antitrust enforcement, which won't be happening. Twitter will likely be flattened under the weight of their clear technical superiority in the sector.

Once people realize that they just need to go follow their Twitter follows on Threads (instead of just their insta followers), Threads starts feeling like a way cleaner version of Twitter. And that's before they add most of the features like hashtags, trending, follow topics, DMs, etc.

I thought I would get burned out on Threads but it's still keeping my interest.

I followed that strategy and was happy to see that the sports accounts I like hopped on Threads too. However, I only want to see those accounts. When they don't post much (as is the case right now during the offseason), Threads spams you with all sorts of random celebrities and influencers, who have nothing to do with the sports accounts I like.