bullshits an answer with confidence (all llms do this)
stupid monty hall
Suppose you're on a game show, and you're given the choice of three transparent doors...
stupid river crossing
A farmer with a wolf, a goat, and a koala must cross a river by boat....
basically, these LLMs have ingested canned solutions and cant reason with newly defined concepts. Anything "out-of-the-box" and they BS canned answers - like the rote student. The BS is particularly distasteful because of the confidence projected in the answer...
So, they are great for looking-up commonly understood narratives, but are poor at reasoning where there is some novelty. this is what we can expect from a probabalistic "deep" autocompleting machine. unlike a child which can learn ideas and metaphors from a few examples and anomalies.
we need to coax-it with the right prompts for it to come up with an answer - so, basically it cant reason.
looks like you have an incentive to ignore what you see.
But, we also discovered a way to think/model which seems to work amazingly - which is the scientific method or reasoning. But this language is not natural to the way humans operate at all. It is a struggle for most of us to think in that manner. thats why math/science is difficult for most of us, and these were discovered only in the last 2000 years.
LLMs cannot yet represent conceptual relationships deterministically/symbolically. At some point in the future, perhaps they can, but the current generation has a long way to go.