We all know how to load up OHLCV data and do basic math on it. Where does that gain us any edge, you know?
I would be interested in some kind of regular meetup as well to discuss new techniques and to analyze publicly disclosed strategies, etc.
I recently posted this article on HN... There is so much more knowledge to share:
The only way I can think of is to get data that they can't.
However if you start increasing scale to $1mm or $10mm, your buy or sell orders begin to actually move the stock price itself. You might not be able to successfully sell $10mm of stock without dropping the price, signaling others to sell, further dropping the price, cutting into your own profits.
I.e., if you're buying, the larger your buy order is (well, assuming a visible buy order) the more likely it is that liquidity-adding sellers will increase the price of their sell orders. Also makes it less likely that liquidity-taking sellers will want to trade against your large buy order, because (like everyone else) they'll tend to interpret your large buy order as a sign that the price is likely to increase, so not as good a time to sell.
You could of course use hidden orders to avoid some of those disadvantages, but hidden orders have their own set of tradeoffs too.
It is an overwhelming lonely endeavor. With all my other projects, I've always worked on teams, although they have always been very small teams and most of my work was autonomous -- still there was the occasional meeting and stand-ups. I've been working on this for six months and thought about bringing a friend onboard for no other reason than to not be alone.