My posts mentioning Ayn Rand are also heavily fluctuating, sometimes tipping up, sometimes tipping down.
I always wonder: What are the most up AND down voted comments? I mean you can score a 1 with 0 votes, or with 100 up and 100 down (I guess, not sure if that is the formula). The second remark is of a different nature but will not give different karma.
FWIW, In all cases I agreed with Dang. I get carried away "twitter style" sometimes. Dang guards the quality (no short snide flaming remarks) and focus (we talk tech here people) of HN threads well.
For comments I find that a polarizing comment may yield karma but tip one way or the other (you know, it will polarize), but finding a smart middle ground though, is quite a sure way to score karma.
Always a fun time when you get flagged and personally reprimanded by dang but your comment is tremendously upvoted.