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A comment on Ask HN: What technology do you think will be invented in the next 50 years?. Parent comment

Re:Ask HN: What technology do you think will be invented in ... by ano88888 on Tuesday May 09, 2023 @02:48AM (#35870958)
i think the 'gpt scam' that you alleged will likely turn 50 years into 20 years. year 2023 - gpt4 launched year 2030 - AGI or sth equivalant launched and can create new knowlege and invent new tools at an astonisng speed year 2040 - you will have 1 and 2 and much more
[ Parent | on HN ]
Re:Ask HN: What technology do you think will be invented in ... by aristofun on Tuesday May 09, 2023 @03:23PM (#35879182)
I bet today’s 1000$ there will be no such thing as AGI in 50 years.

Unless the definition of AGI will be bent to fulfill the craving.

[ Parent | on HN ]
Re:Ask HN: What technology do you think will be invented in ... by ano88888 on Tuesday May 09, 2023 @10:21PM (#35882886)
Well , can you really define AGI? Doesn't your definition of AGI change? Tons of people would already regard gpt4 as AGI ( though i think it is definitely not yet). We humans don't even fully understand our own intelligence and conciousness. We can't really define our own intelligence in a definte way. eg If your definition of AGI is it has a soul like some belive we are , then we will probably never have AGI as it can never be proved. For me, if an 'AGI' can have human like general behaviour/intelligence of better-than-average humans than it qualifies as AGI. I don't really care it is just statistics deep down just like we are just a bunch of molecures connecting to each other in some particular way.
[ Parent | on HN ]
Re:Ask HN: What technology do you think will be invented in ... by aristofun on Wednesday May 10, 2023 @02:31PM (#35891433)
That's the point! Until we define the intelligense - we'll keep cargoculting next fancy neural network as a miracle.
[ Parent | on HN ]