Re:The grid isn’t ready for 300M EVs by 2030
by mulmen on Saturday May 06, 2023 @03:09PM
(#35844435)
How much capacity are they building and how much more do they plan to take offline? Why should we assume linear trends in a revolutionary time?
Re:The grid isn’t ready for 300M EVs by 2030
by akira2501 on Saturday May 06, 2023 @03:25PM
(#35844562)
The trend was a net increase in capacity from 2011 to 2017. From 2017 until today the trend has been a net decrease in capacity. There were 206GW available in 2017, there were 194GW available in 2022. Which is a 6% loss overall.
Which may be fine on it's own, but if you're planning on bringing a bunch of new demand on to the grid, you're headed towards an uncomfortable corner.
Re:The grid isn’t ready for 300M EVs by 2030
by mulmen on Saturday May 06, 2023 @08:37PM
(#35846708)
My question is “how much capacity is in the pipeline?” These projects happen on the scale of years. Looking at current and past trends doesn’t tell the whole story.
Re:The grid isn’t ready for 300M EVs by 2030
by akira2501 on Sunday May 07, 2023 @02:23AM
(#35848436)
The answer is "not enough." The states dual mandates of "electrify all cars" and "green all the energy" are, again, reaching an ugly corner. This is not controversial at all.
https://calmatters.org/environment/2023/01/california-electr...
This is probably why California continues to warn that rolling blackouts may become a thing. They raised that specter last year, and they're preparing to do it again this year.
Total system capacity is not improving at a rate commensurate with the forced adoption of EVs in the state.