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Re:Japan's population may drop by almost one-third by 2070 by mensetmanusman on Wednesday April 26, 2023 @09:38AM (#35713472)
We would also have to revert to that level of technology because there wouldn’t be enough people to operate at each level in the supply chain to turn raw earth into wiz-bang computers etc.
Re:Japan's population may drop by almost one-third by 2070 by delecti on Wednesday April 26, 2023 @09:43AM (#35713543)
I was just using that as an example, though I'm not sure 14 million would actually be too few to have that kind of separation of responsibilities. Assuming no genocide or catastrophe, by the time human population gradually dwindled back down to that level, we'd have hopefully settled on a fairly sustainable and automated existence.
Re:Japan's population may drop by almost one-third by 2070 by seunosewa on Wednesday April 26, 2023 @09:50AM (#35713640)
The rise of AI seems to suggest otherwise.
Re:Japan's population may drop by almost one-third by 2070 by sho_hn on Wednesday April 26, 2023 @10:02AM (#35713793)
This is still a very shaky ticket to bet on. Yes, the new crop of AI tools promises a lot of productivity gains, but for now they also need well-educated folks to operate them and integrate their output, and we don't quite know what the reliance of AI will do to peoples' educational interest/drive, etc. There might well be an overall downward spiral and loss of operating knowledge lurking there.
Re:Japan's population may drop by almost one-third by 2070 by mensetmanusman on Wednesday April 26, 2023 @10:59AM (#35714691)
It would mean we reached peak capability as a civilization, and then we would be forced to rely on an artifact that can pull from that subset of knowledge to help patch together machines that broke down until we lost all the hardware to run the AI itself.