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A comment on Methane may not warm the Earth quite as much as previously thought. Parent comment

Re:Methane may not warm the Earth quite as much as previousl... by tremon on Sunday April 23, 2023 @07:07AM (#35675204)
The global population has been steadily declining since 1990

I assume you mean global population growth here? The global population isn't expected to decline until 2100 [1], barring cataclysmic disasters.

[1] https://ourworldindata.org/future-population-growth

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Re:Methane may not warm the Earth quite as much as previousl... by WastingMyTime89 on Thursday April 27, 2023 @06:39AM (#35726043)
I did indeed mean growth, sorry.

There is disagreement about when the peak will be reached. As your link shows, the UN puts it in 2086. The Global Burden of Disease Study published an article in the Lancet putting in 2064. The UN projection is solely based on current demographic trends and assumptions regarding life expectancy are quite optimistic.

Generally, the impact of potential feed back loops including climate change are understudied. There is a convincing argument to be made than worsening conditions could lead to the peak happening sooner.

At the end of the day, models remain models. They are not exact forecast. It's important to keep in mind when people argue we are doomed based on them.

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