BlueOrigin is spending 1-2 billion a year easly on New Glenn. That is probably as much or more then SpaceX spends on Starship. And there is really no question what the better program.

> Or his choices turned out to be better out of poor luck. Survivorship bias.

If you start out with 1000 and 1 is successful claiming survivor bias might be valid, if its a tiny number of companies this explanation doesn't really work. Specially in a field where before SpaceX most starups just outright failed with no survivors at all.