FTFY, remember it takes 8 of those to even load the thing. And when the average laptop has that much compute, GPT 4 will seem like Cleverbot in comparison to the state of the art.
I think the tuning the models to the hardware piece is important, and of course there is much more incentive to do this for Apple than nvidia because of the distribution and ecosystem advantages Apple have.
But also, I don't know... let's see what the curve looks like! It's only been a couple of years of these neural engines. Let's see how many flops M3 can hit this year. And then m4 the next. Again, 5 years is a long time actually when real improvement is happening. I am optimistic.
"More specialised than GPU" is the game for now.
The M series is basically the only "big" SoC with a functional, flexible NPU and big GPU right now, which is why it seems so good at ML. But you can bet actual ML focused designs are in the pipe.
Some stable diffusion implementations can use the NPU or GPU, or (experimentally and unsucessfully) both.
GPUs on the other hand are pretty general purpose. And 5 years on a focused superlinear ramp up is a long time, lots can happen. I am not saying it's 100%, or even 80% likely. It'll be super impressive if it happens, but I see it as well within the realms of reason.