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Re:Global rice shortage is set to be the biggest in 20 years by s1artibartfast on Wednesday April 19, 2023 @10:28AM (#35628623)
While partially true, you would still expect cost increases from oil flowing through China and India.

I believe Russia is also a major fertilizer exporter and nitrogen fertilizers have more or less doubled in price

Re:Global rice shortage is set to be the biggest in 20 years by hollerith on Wednesday April 19, 2023 @10:37AM (#35628714)
Nitrogen fertilizer is made from natural gas, so maybe the nitrogen fertilizer plants in the EU were shut down to ensure adequate supplies for the EU's more inelastic demands for natural gas.

(More precisely, the natural gas is a cheap source of hydrogen atoms that get combined with nitrogen in the air to produce the fertilizer.)

Re:Global rice shortage is set to be the biggest in 20 years by cpursley on Wednesday April 19, 2023 @11:47AM (#35629666)
There is no maybe, several fertilizer plants in the EU did shut down due to gas costs. And both Russia and Belarus are very important agriculture input exporters.