That said, the new tech is powerful and likely to have a large impact, just not as much through new interfaces as the hype suggests.
Unfortunately I think the biggest use-case for generative AI in the medium term will be automating away middle class jobs. The cabability is looking very possible, and the profit motive is immense. Despite the fun creative uses and the strong PR, the development of this tech is extremely profit focused.
Everyday people will likely feel the effects of this tech, but it mostly won't come in the form of fun and games.
You can't eliminate the ability of most people to earn a meaningful living and expect anything but a dystopian nightmare.
This is also why I'm hoping the enthusiasts are completely wrong.
Mine as well, as I mentioned.
I'm not so sure that's actually true outside of enthusiast circles, to be honest. The value of what the hype describes is apparent, but the hype is about a possible future, not what's actually here right now.
There are a couple of people in my workplace who are using ChatGPT as part of their development process. So far, the value of them doing so isn't obvious to the rest of us. Their work isn't better, nor are they working more productively (although they think they are).
> There's a reason ChatGPT ended up becoming a household name with literally no marketing whatsoever.
Most noncomputer people I know have barely heard of ChatGPT, and those that have only know of it by the hype that has spilled over into the news feeds. They certainly don't really know what it is, and don't think of it as being anything important.
Those that do understand it and think it's important mostly consider it a threat and are afraid of it.