Re:How to explain the Monty Hall problem to a disbeliever
by mountainlks on Tuesday March 14, 2023 @08:02AM
(#35150148)
The problem I always struggle with is the premise that presenter not only knows which box is the prize, but also does not want you to win.
In other words, there should never be a scenario where the show host gives you an opportunity to switch boxes unless you have already chosen the prize box, in which your choice should be to not change boxes.
I guess I just naturally assumed that game shows don't want contestants to win and the odds are against you.
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Re:How to explain the Monty Hall problem to a disbeliever
by mcphage on Tuesday March 14, 2023 @08:41AM
(#35150534)
> there should never be a scenario where the show host gives you an opportunity to switch boxes unless you have already chosen the prize box
The host always gives you an opportunity to switch boxes.
Re:How to explain the Monty Hall problem to a disbeliever
by Jensson on Tuesday March 14, 2023 @09:02AM
(#35150773)
That is an assumption though, the problem usually doesn't say that.
Re:How to explain the Monty Hall problem to a disbeliever
by mcphage on Tuesday March 14, 2023 @02:02PM
(#35155734)
What would the problem even be asking if you don't get that choice? The problem (as given) requires you to make a choice about keeping or switching—if the host doesn't offer you that option, then what is the problem even about?