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Re:Analysis finds Australia’s inflation being driven by comp... by Khaine on Saturday February 25, 2023 @12:47AM (#34934239)
so lets look at this closely:

Banks - banks make more money when rates are higher, as they can get a bigger spread between what they offer savers and borrows. CBA, Australia's largest bank has a net interest margin of 2.1%. This means that the difference between the cost of interest paid to savers, and that borrows pay is 2.1%. This 2.1% covers all of the expenses and profit the bank makes. Banks make obscene amounts of money due to the volume and value of the loans. Amazingly, banks want to maintain their NIM, to ensure they can fund all of the compliance costs, risk management, and technology costs. If you looked at the Investor Presentation you would have seen that in the last quarter the NIM for CBA dropped which is why the share has been sold off. Due to strong competition in the banking sector

Qantas announced record profit because demand for flights is really, really high, but flight volumes have not returned to pre-covid levels. This is why flights are still very expensive. Again, inflation is on the demand side, to counter the increase in demand, Qantas has raised prices to ensure the flight demand meets what it can supply. You will note, Qantas is also actively trying to build out more flight capacity to cater to the excess demand.

Supermarkets, I already spoke to, down thread. This is a reversion driven by reduced costs from COVID. 'Mr Kierath said it was important to note the companies' profits fell in the last six months of 2021, so these results were rebounding off an unusually low base.'

Ergo, they look good because they were depressed in the prior reporting season. Ergo, it's just corporations bashing, because people are mad inflation is going up.

If you look at Woolworth's profits over time, it would look to be going back to normal levels[1] after a dip due to COVID. [1] https://www.statista.com/statistics/1116200/australia-net-pr...

Re:Analysis finds Australia’s inflation being driven by comp... by naasking on Saturday February 25, 2023 @01:10AM (#34934322)
> Qantas has raised prices to ensure the flight demand meets what it can supply.

This is weasly language for "price gouging". There's literally no problem with Qantas just selling the seats they had at reasonable prices and then saying, "sorry, no more seats available".

Instead, you're trying to portray it as totally natural and just that they take advantage of any circumstances to squeeze as much out of their customers as possible.

Market-think has perverted your worldview. The people tolerate markets because they generally serve the common good via innovation, competition and self organization. When the market deviates from that objective, like by price gouging to enrich a few at the expense of the public, it is right to criticize and correct it, not try to justify that the market is right and the common good is wrong.

Re:Analysis finds Australia’s inflation being driven by comp... by Khaine on Saturday February 25, 2023 @01:13AM (#34934336)
That's what markets do, they co-ordinate supply and demand. If you can't raise prices to ease demand, what do you do?

That extra money they are making, is then used to invest in more planes, and crew to staff more flights to serve more customers/

You can't have capitalism, without both sides of that coin. That's how markets work.

Re:Analysis finds Australia’s inflation being driven by comp... by naasking on Saturday February 25, 2023 @07:59AM (#34936325)
> That extra money they are making, is then used to invest in more planes

No, they're spent on stock buybacks to enrich shareholders, instead of invested back into their workforce or expanding capacity:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=udITRL9-t08

I don't know why people keep believing in this myth, this reinvestment only happens when there's sufficient competition and no coordination, which is not the world we live in.

Re:Analysis finds Australia’s inflation being driven by comp... by monero-xmr on Saturday February 25, 2023 @01:43AM (#34934482)
If there is 1000 units of something but demand for 5000 units, you increase the price until demand equals 1000 units. There is no conspiracy. This is fundamental economics.

“Market-think” is about freedom. The alternative is “authoritarian-think” and that always ends in tears. Just start setting prices by government decree and see what happens.

Re:Analysis finds Australia’s inflation being driven by comp... by jay_kyburz on Saturday February 25, 2023 @04:46AM (#34935333)
In the case where products can be profitably produced at a cheaper price, the people should band together, put aside the market system, and produce all 5000 units. More people are served.

If its costs $100 to fly somebody from Sydney to Melbourne and Qantas is selling tickets for $1000, Australians should run an airline and sell tickets for $200.

Governments should get into the business of keeping markets competitive.

Re:Analysis finds Australia’s inflation being driven by comp... by makomk on Saturday February 25, 2023 @05:21AM (#34935498)
Even in an ideal world where there's no fundamental difference in the cost of producing 1000 units or 5000, companies aren't going to be able to sell 5000 at the same price as they could 1000 when doing so exceeds their current capacity. Expanding that capacity means more staff and equipment, which costs money that has to be paid for somehow. It also takes time, which means that it cannot act as an immediate solution to the cost problem and also that there's substantial risk involved - by the time the extra capacity is there, the demand may not be. In order to justify taking on this risk there needs to be the expectation of substantially higher profits.

Also, commercial airlines in particular are an industry with a history of over-optimistic expansion followed by cut-throat competition on pricing and then bankrupcy, and I'm pretty sure everyone in the industry knows this by now which is why there's not a huge rush to expand massively.

Re:Analysis finds Australia’s inflation being driven by comp... by jay_kyburz on Saturday February 25, 2023 @04:24PM (#34940637)
I personally think airline tickets need to be taxed heavily so that travelers pay for every ounce of carbon emitted to be captured.
Re:Analysis finds Australia’s inflation being driven by comp... by gruez on Saturday February 25, 2023 @11:02AM (#34937615)
>the people should band together, put aside the market system, and produce all 5000 units. More people are served.

You just described a command economy, which have a poor track record historically.

Re:Analysis finds Australia’s inflation being driven by comp... by jay_kyburz on Saturday February 25, 2023 @04:41PM (#34940756)
I didn't suggest government should dictate production levels or prices.

I am suggesting governments should consider putting together not-for-profit, but self funding organizations, with fair and reasonable salaries for all employees, to produce good and services for its people.

Then you allow the free market to compete against that baseline profitable business.

If for profit companies can't produce a better or cheaper product, they should just not exist.

Australia's ABC is a good example of what I am talking about. There are commercial offerings, but there is a baseline keeping standards up.

Of course gets a lot more complicated when your state sponsored factories can't compete on quality or price and is not selling any widgets at all. At what point do you decide the market is working to your satisfaction and you should shut it down.

How much of a loss do you allow? How much is it worth to a country to be able to build x widgets or offer x service?

How good would it be if we still had the ability to manufacture things here in Australia? How do you put a dollar value on that?

Re:Analysis finds Australia’s inflation being driven by comp... by gruez on Sunday February 26, 2023 @09:46AM (#34945921)
>I am suggesting governments should consider putting together not-for-profit, but self funding organizations, with fair and reasonable salaries for all employees, to produce good and services for its people.

What specifically does this entail? Is the government providing starting capital? Or is it in charge of creating the organization and letting them handle the rest?

>If for profit companies can't produce a better or cheaper product, they should just not exist.

>Australia's ABC is a good example of what I am talking about. There are commercial offerings, but there is a baseline keeping standards up.

According to wikipedia ABC receives more than a billion dollars per year from the government. How can you say with a straight face that companies that can't compete with that "should just not exist"?

Re:Analysis finds Australia’s inflation being driven by comp... by jay_kyburz on Sunday February 26, 2023 @06:08PM (#34950679)
>What specifically does this entail? Is the government providing starting capital? Or is it in charge of creating the organization and letting them handle the rest?

In my imaginary utopia, they are public servants paid salaries and benefits directly.

The government already provides heaps of starting capital for business it wants to get get off the round.

>According to wikipedia ABC receives more than a billion dollars per year from the government. How can you say with a straight face that companies that can't compete with that "should just not exist"?

Every Australian pays just a few cents a day for our ABC, and I can say it with a straight face, because there are profitable commercial channels here in Australia that it directly competes with.

Aussie post is similar, there is a nationalized option, and there is commercial competition. I believe Aussie posts runs a profit as well, ABC is pure expenditure.

I'm not an expert in any of this, just think its fun to muse about when it pops up here on HN.

Re:Analysis finds Australia’s inflation being driven by comp... by jay_kyburz on Sunday February 26, 2023 @09:56PM (#34952399)
>In my imaginary utopia, they are public servants paid salaries and benefits directly.

Oh also, these millions of jobs the government is providing. You could think of these as a UBI. Fairly easy to get. You can move around between them fairly easy until you find one you like with people you enjoy spending time with.

Re:Analysis finds Australia’s inflation being driven by comp... by Khaine on Sunday March 05, 2023 @05:49PM (#35035039)
Government do get into the business of keeping markets competitive. That is one of the drivers for regulation. You will note, Qantas isn't the only domestic airline in Australia.

Airlines are also highly capital intensive. It costs a lot of money to own and maintain a plan

Re:Analysis finds Australia’s inflation being driven by comp... by naasking on Saturday February 25, 2023 @07:56AM (#34936309)
> If there is 1000 units of something but demand for 5000 units,

Except that's not the case here, both supply and demand for eggs and milk have not changed much, neither have the costs to produce either. That's why prices are skyrocketing and profits are soaring.

Look, the data is out there and very clear on this point:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=udITRL9-t08

Re:Analysis finds Australia’s inflation being driven by comp... by gruez on Saturday February 25, 2023 @11:00AM (#34937597)
>both supply and demand for eggs [...] have not changed much

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Avian_influenza#United_States_...

Re:Analysis finds Australia’s inflation being driven by comp... by naasking on Saturday February 25, 2023 @11:44AM (#34938009)
Yes, they euthanized a bunch of chickens, and yet total egg output remained basically the same. So where did the inflation come from? Why are egg producers suddenly recording record profits?
Re:Analysis finds Australia’s inflation being driven by comp... by gruez on Saturday February 25, 2023 @12:18PM (#34938342)
>and yet total egg output remained basically the same

source? Also, due to how price elasticity curves work, even if production is "basically" the same, it doesn't necessarily mean that prices would also be "basically" the same. If demand is inelastic, buyers will bid up prices to astronomical levels.

Re:Analysis finds Australia’s inflation being driven by comp... by SturgeonsLaw on Saturday February 25, 2023 @06:22AM (#34935768)
Qantas is particularly scummy. They received over $2B in taxpayer money in bailouts and other concessions, stood down thousands of employees and did a $500M stock buyback.
Re:Analysis finds Australia’s inflation being driven by comp... by Khaine on Sunday March 05, 2023 @05:32PM (#35034877)
Qantas has announced plans to create 8500 new jobs over the next decade to grow Australia’s biggest carrier now it’s back to reporting billion-dollar profits after COVID-19 read more

https://www.smh.com.au/business/companies/qantas-commits-to-...

Re:Analysis finds Australia’s inflation being driven by comp... by gruez on Saturday February 25, 2023 @11:08AM (#34937669)
>This is weasly language for "price gouging". There's literally no problem with Qantas just selling the seats they had at reasonable prices and then saying, "sorry, no more seats available".

>Instead, you're trying to portray it as totally natural and just that they take advantage of any circumstances to squeeze as much out of their customers as possible.

Would you not have done the same? Seeing that we're on HN, there's a good chance that you took advantage of the pandemic tech bonanza (ie. tech companies paying astronomical amounts for developers). If you were currently making $150k, and some tech company was offering you $250k, would you turn down that offer because you want to sell your labor "at reasonable prices"?

Re:Analysis finds Australia’s inflation being driven by comp... by naasking on Saturday February 25, 2023 @01:33PM (#34939162)
No, I haven't done the same, for years in fact. But that's besides the point, because individuals are simply not in the same power bracket as powerful corporations that dominate whole markets, particularly when corporations have a proven track record of behaving unethically.
Re:Analysis finds Australia’s inflation being driven by comp... by gruez on Saturday February 25, 2023 @03:31PM (#34940161)
>No, I haven't done the same, for years in fact.

Note this isn't limited to job hopping. If you saw the red hot job market and asked for a raise, that's arguably the same.

>But that's besides the point, because individuals are simply not in the same power bracket as powerful corporations that dominate whole markets, particularly when corporations have a proven track record of behaving unethically.

What are you trying to say here? That corporations are unethical and as a result shouldn't be conferred the right to raise prices? Or that price rises in absence of increased costs doesn't count as price gouging, unless you also have "power"?

Re:Analysis finds Australia’s inflation being driven by comp... by mattwilsonn888 on Saturday February 25, 2023 @05:50AM (#34935619)
Appreciate you taking the time to write this.
Re:Analysis finds Australia’s inflation being driven by comp... by ssss11 on Saturday February 25, 2023 @06:24AM (#34935782)
Well it isn’t wages fuelling the inflation. Wages aren’t rising but our mortgage repayments certainly are!