Well, I may speak for hours about my observations.

Essentially they are sure that noone would vouch for Poland (also for Baltic countries). I've been shocked that well educated people, like software engineers, scientists, etc easily repeat the narrative of various propagandists and, moreover, they say that these are their own conclusions.

Please, do.

War on NATO, Russia loses quickly or we all lose if nuclear war.

That doesn't prevent their propaganda from saying what they say.

The people are convinced that NATO won't hold up to its promises.

Re nuclear weapons. I really doubt that this shit is still functional.

> I really doubt that this shit is still functional.

Ohh how I wish I could believe that. Once you have the fissile material together my understanding is that it's not that hard to actually build a bomb. The success rate of countries that have decided to start a nuclear program is pretty damn high, and through all those years of nuclear testing, there weren't a whole lot of duds that I know of.

There are a lot of designs that are a lot trickier to set off. Do we know how many of each design Russia has in service? It wouldn't surprise me if a lot of the simpler ones had been replaced by higher yield but more fragile ones.

Anyway, I agree it's not a great cause for optimism. It would only take a couple of them going off to give the world a bad time. If nothing else they're dirty bombs.

Did Poland think through the implications of hosting an AEGIS missile system (thanks to the US unilaterally withdrawing from an arms control treaty)? I’m sure the Kremlin was going to believe that was to protect Europe from “Iranian and North Korean” missiles. What a joke.