Re:ChatGPT Has Already Decreased My Income Security, and Lik...
by taylodl on Tuesday February 21, 2023 @09:40AM
(#34881690)
My career now spans nearly 40 years. If I had a nickel for every technology that was going to reduce the need for developers and put us all out of work...
What has happened instead is we now have more developers than ever and I would argue the productivity of the average developer is 10x-100x what it was when I first started, thanks to all these tools and technologies. That's how software is eating the world: more people than ever are creating an order of magnitude or more than ever and yet the global backlog of software needing to be written is increasing!
I'm looking forward to using ChatGPT to assist with my own projects. There are so many projects in my backlog and many projects that just never get done because we don't have enough manpower to get the work done and not enough money to hire (and manage) any more developers. In other words, we weren't going to be hiring anyway, yet we're going to be able to get more needed work done.
I realize the software we create will put a lot of people out of work, but at my company a full 40% of the employees are eligible for retirement within the next five years. Right now there's no way we can create enough software to eliminate those positions and there simply isn't enough people in the labor force to replace them. This technology might be the silver bullet we need to solve this problem.
What has happened instead is we now have more developers than ever and I would argue the productivity of the average developer is 10x-100x what it was when I first started, thanks to all these tools and technologies. That's how software is eating the world: more people than ever are creating an order of magnitude or more than ever and yet the global backlog of software needing to be written is increasing!
I'm looking forward to using ChatGPT to assist with my own projects. There are so many projects in my backlog and many projects that just never get done because we don't have enough manpower to get the work done and not enough money to hire (and manage) any more developers. In other words, we weren't going to be hiring anyway, yet we're going to be able to get more needed work done.
I realize the software we create will put a lot of people out of work, but at my company a full 40% of the employees are eligible for retirement within the next five years. Right now there's no way we can create enough software to eliminate those positions and there simply isn't enough people in the labor force to replace them. This technology might be the silver bullet we need to solve this problem.