It is the same for tanks.
Maybe that's where AI could be "usefull", way more efficient autonomous guidance systems for all those missiles, actually scary efficient.
And helicopters, and trucks, and humvees, and missiles themselves, and drones, and humans...
We have very good and usually very cheap (compared to the target's price) ways to destroy things.
Looks like planes and tanks are still useful, Ukraine wouldn't ask for them otherwise
Wild guess, the USA intelligence services know and have green-lighted the usage of combat aircrafts/tanks to friendly countries. Hope it is not the same type of intelligence used for the weapons of mass destruction in irak... ahem...
Why not cruise missiles? Cruise missiles will continue to have a role in combat, but they are too expensive to use them for everything. A stealth bomber like F-35 or B2 or the future B-21, can ferry a lot of relatively inexpensive munitions and drop them on target. A Tomahawk costs north of $1 million, while a JDAM can be procured for about $25k and a Hellfire for about $150k.
And it seems there is often more than one missile shot at a combat aircraft.
That would mean, before any combat aircraft can fly, all ground base radars would have to be disabled... and how do you get rid of a dynamic mesh of mobile ground/sea based radars (or in a place you cannot really "reach")?
In the end, the tech of the opponent in a "standard" conflict should be assessed before anything can fly, and get ready for some very bad surprises (high altitude cruise missiles...).
drones with payloads may be able to do "more" for "cheaper" than a cruise missile: I guess a drone is "cheaper" than a combat aircraft but more "expansive" than a cruise missile.
"AI" may find its way in the autonomous guidance systems of a cruise missile, like drones which would only need to receive some sort of high level order to perform some "tasks" and that nearly completely autonomously, but I don't think you can "embed" such "big" AI in a drone though, you would need a near "realtime" link to some AI center, then it would be "space" war, war satellites destruction and jamming.
A repeat is quite unlikely though, as the US military is very good of learning lessons in war.
That's why it is very important to assess the balance of a conflict on recent data in order to deploy the right equipment. Of course, there will be bluf, bad surprises, etc.
Not really. As everyone could see, Russia is still using tanks made 50 years ago.
I may be talking about old tech, but you are talking hypothetical tech. "I don't understand why anyone would invest in combat aircraft when this hypothetical tech could be developed by a peer nation and render the aircraft obsolete". Does that sum up the argument?
But combat aircrafts are still usefull in uneven conflicts, namely when one side has really weak air defence, or even none. It is a similar issues with tanks.
Here's a scenario: one F-35 together with about two dozen loyal wingman drones [1]. The drones stay within line of sight of the F-35, so they are immune to electronic warfare of the kind that lead to the capture of a US drone by Iran in 2011 [2]. The F-35 pilot assigns the drones high-level missions, like take care of the incoming bogeys in the north-east sector. The drones then use AI to coordinate their actions in an optimal way and carry out the mission. Some of the drones are lost. No biggie.
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Boeing_MQ-28_Ghost_Bat
[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iran%E2%80%93U.S._RQ-170_incid...