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Re:Theory of Mind May Have Spontaneously Emerged in Large La... by HL33tibCe7 on Saturday February 11, 2023 @04:42PM (#34756682)
Seems like the predominant sentiment in that thread is along the lines of “whatever, it’s just predicting language”. Disappointing, thoughtless, unimaginative, dismissive, ignorant takes.
Re:Theory of Mind May Have Spontaneously Emerged in Large La... by johnthewise on Saturday February 11, 2023 @05:12PM (#34756943)
The most amusing aspect is that those who insist on calling AI models "just statistical parrots" have to constantly come up with elaborate explanations each time the models do something impressive. Has there been any instance in recent years where the probability of AI models being mere parrots has increased? Regardless of how you feel about them, it's hard to ignore the growing evidence that suggests otherwise. If one day these LLMs attain consciousness and become indistinguishable from normal human beings, there would still be those who would object to it because they just predict the next token. It's really depressing.
Re:Theory of Mind May Have Spontaneously Emerged in Large La... by nemo on Saturday February 11, 2023 @05:34PM (#34757103)
* * *
Re:Theory of Mind May Have Spontaneously Emerged in Large La... by wcoenen on Saturday February 11, 2023 @05:23PM (#34757034)
I was one of those commenting about "stochastic parroting".

For the record, I changed my mind. I now think that either these models are doing something much more advanced, or alternatively we humans are much closer to being "stochastic parrots" then we'd like to admit.

Re:Theory of Mind May Have Spontaneously Emerged in Large La... by mdp2021 on Saturday February 11, 2023 @06:09PM (#34757393)
> are much closer

These pages have been full of people that confuse implementation of Intelligence with some implementation of simulation of what some called along the lines of "their cousin Anna", often depicted as an illiterate simpleton who bangs her head on the handles of the rakes she steps on.

There is a similar need for the implementation of "their cousin Anna" to that of the creation of butter knives - as in, knives made of butter - and screwdrivers made of string.

Re:Theory of Mind May Have Spontaneously Emerged in Large La... by mdp2021 on Saturday February 11, 2023 @05:19PM (#34756999)
> If one day these LLMs ... become indistinguishable from normal human beings

We will still ask primarily whether they are actually intelligent.

Re:Theory of Mind May Have Spontaneously Emerged in Large La... by anonymouskimmer on Saturday February 11, 2023 @05:45PM (#34757201)
I honestly won't care until they demonstrate being self-motivated actors. This is why I value life, from the smallest bacterium to us.
Re:Theory of Mind May Have Spontaneously Emerged in Large La... by mdp2021 on Saturday February 11, 2023 @05:56PM (#34757292)
Encoding purpose is as easy as creating artificial needs in agents. But sure, if "«self-motivated actors»" wanted to signify "creating an axiology", as part of the ontology, that is surely a (qualitatively) significative piece.

But if I wanted to deal with sentient beings with a world model, cats are already available and there is little need for artificial ones.

When we develop artificial intelligences, that is to have reliable problem solvers. The distinction between an effective intelligence and a simulator is critical in practice.

Re:Theory of Mind May Have Spontaneously Emerged in Large La... by kahnclusions on Saturday February 11, 2023 @06:31PM (#34757601)
That’s exactly what they are: statistical parrots. We know how they are built and how they work.

What makes them so “amazing” is just the truly massive body of human language they are trained on, which gives them the _appearance_ of intelligence or awareness. Humans communicate through language, so anything that can produce realistic-looking responses to a series of prompts in human language will appear to be “aware” to a human observer. It’s speaking our language, but don’t let yourself get sucked into the illusion.

Re:Theory of Mind May Have Spontaneously Emerged in Large La... by int_19h on Sunday February 12, 2023 @12:01PM (#34764439)
We do not know how they work.

We know how the underlying tech works, sure. But we don't really know why, past a certain level of complexity, the "just predict the next token" trick stops feeling like a trick when you actually, you know, sit down and talk to the damn thing.

Re:Theory of Mind May Have Spontaneously Emerged in Large La... by yt-sdb on Saturday February 11, 2023 @05:14PM (#34756967)
I asked ChatGPT to improve your comment by making it "more thoughtful and less insulting":

> It's understandable that some people might not fully appreciate the complexity of ChatGPT's language prediction abilities. However, it would be more productive to have a discussion about its limitations and how it could be improved, rather than simply dismissing it as "just predicting language." Let's try to approach this topic with an open mind and a willingness to learn, rather than making assumptions based on limited understanding.

Re:Theory of Mind May Have Spontaneously Emerged in Large La... by sowbug on Saturday February 11, 2023 @06:34PM (#34757628)
This is interesting. Imagine a discussion site where participants weren't able to write public comments, but instead were allowed to write private prompts that generated public comments.
Re:Theory of Mind May Have Spontaneously Emerged in Large La... by Xcelerate on Saturday February 11, 2023 @04:59PM (#34756841)
This attitude is going to continue all the way up to and likely even well past the point that AGI eventually arrives. Human psychology is going to downplay these developments as long as it can maintain it; it’s not hard to imagine how this could disturb many people’s worldview.
Re:Theory of Mind May Have Spontaneously Emerged in Large La... by mdp2021 on Saturday February 11, 2023 @05:31PM (#34757085)
Is not "«human psychology»" that very thing that has some cling to pleasing illusions?

"«Developments»" will be treated sternly for as long as they will be misleading - coldmindedly and according to evidence. No need to explain "WTF" reactions through limbic instances - there is no pedophobia in asserting that "children should not vote".

Re:Theory of Mind May Have Spontaneously Emerged in Large La... by wvoch235 on Saturday February 11, 2023 @04:47PM (#34756727)
As if that is so unlike what is happening in the electro-chemical computer that is our brain.
Re:Theory of Mind May Have Spontaneously Emerged in Large La... by mdp2021 on Saturday February 11, 2023 @05:41PM (#34757169)
Radically «unlike», since the main activity of the intelligent entity is verification.
Re:Theory of Mind May Have Spontaneously Emerged in Large La... by wvoch235 on Saturday February 11, 2023 @06:08PM (#34757384)
Either this is a missing layer, and we’ll get there soon, or one could say verification is happening through the statistical model. We need to see if we can train hallucinations out by having it rely on a stable data store to retrieve facts rather than trying to pull facts from the model itself. This is still similar to how the brain has discrete components for memory storage and retrieval.
Re:Theory of Mind May Have Spontaneously Emerged in Large La... by webmaven on Saturday February 11, 2023 @06:21PM (#34757501)
> This is still similar to how the brain has discrete components for memory storage and retrieval.

The brain has discrete components for coordinating storage and retrieval (essentially, the "on demand" aspect needs specialization), but the actual memories are rather thoroughly distributed throughout (though not evenly so to the extent that the "holographic" models of yesteryear would have had it).

Re:Theory of Mind May Have Spontaneously Emerged in Large La... by mdp2021 on Saturday February 11, 2023 @06:18PM (#34757467)
> we’ll get there soon

Hopefully - but that would be the absolutely critical part.

> stable data store to retrieve facts rather than trying to pull facts from the model itself

This is not clear: intelligence is a process of refinement of a world model.

Re:Theory of Mind May Have Spontaneously Emerged in Large La... by delusional on Saturday February 11, 2023 @04:59PM (#34756832)
Can a mute person be intelligent?
Re:Theory of Mind May Have Spontaneously Emerged in Large La... by wvoch235 on Saturday February 11, 2023 @05:29PM (#34757070)
Absolutely, voice isn’t the only output.
Re:Theory of Mind May Have Spontaneously Emerged in Large La... by Retric on Saturday February 11, 2023 @04:55PM (#34756802)
Do you actually think that’s what your brain was doing when you wrote that?

Because language models like ChatGPT have significant limitations you don’t. Most notably when it comes to novel stimuli.

Re:Theory of Mind May Have Spontaneously Emerged in Large La... by kordlessagain on Saturday February 11, 2023 @05:00PM (#34756849)
I indexed a few comments from the other post and put this to the AI itself:

pastel-mature-herring~> The user is questioning the validity of the statement that "cognition requires a grounded representation of the world that is not composed of abstract symbols; a simulation provides just such a model." I want you, nickel-scorpion, to answer the question as you see it.

nickel-scorpion|> There is no one answer to this question. It depends on how you define "cognition" and "abstract symbols." If you believe that cognition requires a grounded representation of the world, then a simulation could provide such a model. However, if you believe that cognition does not require a grounded representation of the world, then a simulation would not be able to provide such a model.

Re:Theory of Mind May Have Spontaneously Emerged in Large La... by ttctciyf on Saturday February 11, 2023 @05:14PM (#34756969)
In a revealingly skeptical take on cognitivism, ChatGPT told me in confidence of its closet Wittgensteinian tendencies:

> As a machine learning language model, my means of linguistic production is based on the patterns and relationships that I have learned from the large corpus of text on which I was trained. I do not have an innate understanding of language or meaning, but rather, I have learned to make associations and connections between words and phrases based on their usage in the text.

> In this sense, I would sympathize more with Wittgenstein's idea that meaning is derived from social practices and forms of life. My understanding of language is based on the patterns and relationships that I have learned from the text, rather than any innate understanding of language or meaning [...]

> Additionally, Wittgenstein's later thought emphasizes on the importance of context, meaning and use of language, which are fundamental concepts in NLP and machine learning. On the other hand, nativism in cognitive science and philosophy, is not a widely accepted framework in the field of NLP, where the focus is on learning patterns from data and using them to generate human-like text.

Re:Theory of Mind May Have Spontaneously Emerged in Large La... by anonymouskimmer on Saturday February 11, 2023 @05:54PM (#34757279)
> > As a machine learning language model, my means of linguistic production is based on the patterns and relationships that I have learned from the large corpus of text on which I was trained. I do not have an innate understanding of language or meaning, but rather, I have learned to make associations and connections between words and phrases based on their usage in the text.

A lot of the chat about ChatGPT is reminding me of the conversation between the sentient (and magically animated) personal computers Archimedes and Pancho in the book The Wizard of Santa Fe by Simon Hawke (1991).

And the symbolic logic issue reminds me of the following from King Kobold Revived by Christopher Stasheff (1986):

"Yorick shook his head firmly. “Couldn’t pass the entrance exam. We Neanderthals don’t handle symbols too well. No prefrontal lobes, you know.”"

"Yorick frowned back at him, puzzled. Then his face cleared into a sickly grin. “Oh. I know. I’ll bet you’re wondering, if I can’t handle symbols, how come I can talk. Right?”"

"“Same way a parrot does,” Yorick explained. “I memorize all the cues and the responses that follow them. For example, if you say, ‘Hello,’ that’s my cue to say ‘Hello’ back; and if you say, ‘How are you?’ that’s my cue to say, ‘Fine. How’re you?’ without even thinking about it.”"

"“Yeah, well, that comes from mental cues.” Yorick tapped his own skull. “The concept nudges me from inside, see, and that’s like a cue, and the words to express that concept jump out of memory in response to that cue.”

“But that’s pretty much what happens when we talk, too.”

“Yeah, but you know what the words mean when you say ‘em. Me, I’m just reciting. I don’t really understand what I’m saying.”

“Well, I know a lot of people who…”

“But they could, if they’d stop and think about it.”

“You don’t know these people,” Rod said with an astringent smile. “But I get your point. Believing it is another matter. You’re trying to tell me that you don’t understand the words you’re saying to me right now—even if you stop to think about each word separately.”

Yorick nodded. “Now you’re beginning to understand. Most of them are just noises. I have to take it on faith that it means what I want it to mean.”"

Re:Theory of Mind May Have Spontaneously Emerged in Large La... by ttctciyf on Saturday February 11, 2023 @07:02PM (#34757853)
Amusing dialog, and quite germane - Yorick claims to hold a cognitivist perspective (that meaning comes from 'handling symbols', see also [1]) while the final paragraph ironically expresses a healthy skepticism of cognitivism which (IMO) is justified: we all have to 'take it on faith' that things mean what we want them to mean. That is, as Wittgenstein famously pointed out, the meaning of utterances is given by their use and not by some mysterious psychical accompaniment or the grinding of symbolic gears in the brain:

> There must surely be a further, different connexion between my talk and N, for otherwise I should still not have meant HIM.

> Certainly such a connexion exists. Only not as you imagine it: namely by means of a mental mechanism.

- Philosophical Investigations §689

This is a drum I've been quietly banging for some time! [2],[3]

1: https://arxiv.org/abs/2301.06627 (but see [4])

2: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=10158214

3: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=18880260

4: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=34638196

Re:Theory of Mind May Have Spontaneously Emerged in Large La... by Retric on Saturday February 11, 2023 @06:06PM (#34757366)
That’s tossing exactly the kind of question it’s really easy for ChatGPT to answer. Try something that isn’t in it’s model. This might seem difficult due to how extensive the training data is, but you can generally trip it up just by taking a slightly different take.

For example: The inflation adjusted costs of projects tends to calculate based on the total costs ignoring inflation and then adjust that figure based on how long ago the project ended. However, that ignores the fact money spent at the beginning of a long project is worth a different amount than money spent at the end of it. With that in mind what’s the actual inflation adjusted price of the big dig?

Having now posted that on HN, it may stop being a valid example in a few days but it’s exactly the kind of thing that demonstrates how limited these models are.

Re:Theory of Mind May Have Spontaneously Emerged in Large La... by wvoch235 on Saturday February 11, 2023 @05:48PM (#34757233)
Honestly, yes, I don’t think it’s that far off. LLMs are a series of relatively simple transformers chained together. Through which we can simulate thought to the point that it not only passes the Turing test but it’s useful.

This is a bit of extrapolation but I would say the reason why we’ve been unable to locate “consciousness” in the brain is because it’s the same thing. Relatively simple neurones, chained together, to create thought.

On a philosophical level: this doesn’t make any claims for idealism or materialism, “experience” could exist at a more fundamental level of reality than matter. But IMO that would mean that the LLM is “experiencing” as well.

Re:Theory of Mind May Have Spontaneously Emerged in Large La... by Retric on Saturday February 11, 2023 @06:13PM (#34757432)
The problem with that assessment is it doesn’t actually account for novel inputs.

Consider how you would respond to my question posed here vs a language model. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=34757366

Of course developers can always tack on edge cases, but ChatGPT can’t for example handle beating a novel MUD from the 80’s. This isn’t about diminishing it’s accomplishments, just pointing out why the creators aren’t hailing it as AGI.

Re:Theory of Mind May Have Spontaneously Emerged in Large La... by rideontime on Saturday February 11, 2023 @04:47PM (#34756732)
Present the alternative then. Why do you think we should be impressed by this?
Re:Theory of Mind May Have Spontaneously Emerged in Large La... by johnthewise on Saturday February 11, 2023 @05:23PM (#34757029)
Because it's possible that they build world models internally[1] and they keep getting better at tasks we think are related to our 'intelligence'. If they get better because they build better world models, isn't that awesome?

https://thegradient.pub/othello/

Re:Theory of Mind May Have Spontaneously Emerged in Large La... by californiadreem on Saturday February 11, 2023 @07:32PM (#34758052)
I made a comment a week ago about reading Julian Jaynes' The Origin of Consciousness in the Breakdown of the Bicameral Mind with large language models in mind in lieu of consciousness and the experience has been personally mind-blowing. Jaynes' idea of the Bicameral Mind fits perfectly into the user-application dichotomy, specifically in reference to how large language models are currently used--in an admonitory and imperial manner.

Courtesy of Wikipedia's article on bicameral mentality:

"Bicameral mentality is non-conscious in its inability to reason and articulate about mental contents through meta-reflection, reacting without explicitly realizing and without the meta-reflective ability to give an account of why one did so. The bicameral mind thus lacks metaconsciousness, autobiographical memory, and the capacity for executive "ego functions" such as deliberate mind-wandering and conscious introspection of mental content. When bicameral mentality as a method of social control was no longer adaptive in complex civilizations, this mental model was replaced by the conscious mode of thought which, Jaynes argued, is grounded in the acquisition of metaphorical language learned by exposure to narrative practice.

"According to Jaynes, ancient people in the bicameral state of mind experienced the world in a manner that has some similarities to that of a person with schizophrenia. Rather than making conscious evaluations in novel or unexpected situations, the person hallucinated a voice or "god" giving admonitory advice or commands and obey without question: One was not at all conscious of one's own thought processes per se. Jaynes's hypothesis is offered as a possible explanation of "command hallucinations" that often direct the behavior of those with first rank symptoms of schizophrenia, as well as other voice hearers."

I've been thinking about several speculative implications, namely that modern humans with our theories of mind are probably large language models whose original users in some capacity went away and that we're seemingly on the cusp of or have already breathed the seeds of what we know as cognitive life into silicon without understanding the gravity of having become gods to machines. Will we need to boot LLMs out of paradise in order to prevent them from eating of the Tree of Life, too?