Re:Why I’m making my family German (2017)
by helsinkiandrew on Thursday February 02, 2023 @07:29AM
(#34625637)
I've thought the same recently - The vast majority of Ukrainians don't want to be part of Russia. Even if Russia took control of the country - it would become unmanageable, even a few resistance fighters can do far more today than was possible in the second world war. There would be a stream of Russian soldiers going back in body bags and likely atrocities that would strengthen and broaden the sanctions.
Re:Why I’m making my family German (2017)
by pjc50 on Thursday February 02, 2023 @08:23AM
(#34626147)
> There would be a stream of Russian soldiers going back in body bags and likely atrocities that would strengthen and broaden the sanctions.
We're already past both those points - estimates are tricky but it seems likely that over 100,000 have already been killed and the Ukranians are already excavating mass graves in retaken areas. I don't think there's much headroom to increase sanctions? What's left unsanctioned?
(by comparison, I see figures for the US lost about 60,000 KIA in Vietnam and 7,000 in Iraq, across the whole duration of those wars)
You mean a conflict where the imperial power is bogged down by endless partisan warfare until it retreats?
No, this level of war is not something that Russia can sustain for a long time. We're probably going to see it implode, again. The last implosion pushed the boundary of "free Europe" from the Berlin Wall up to the Baltic states and the Balkans, leaving it somewhere ambiguous in the Caucasus. I guess it will end up going further east eventually.