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Re:NanoGPT by spi on Wednesday January 11, 2023 @05:16AM (#34336923)
What do you mean by "small players have no chance"? OpenAI was founded in 2015, it used to be a "small player" which just got things right and grew with it - we're not talking of Google or Facebook investing a chunk of their billions cash. In Germany, AlephAlpha has built their own supercomputer and are training similar sized models. It's expensive for sure, but well in the possibilities of startups. In France researchers trained the similarly sized BLOOM model https://huggingface.co/bigscience/bloom. They claim it cost between $2 and $4 millions.

Sure, a single researcher can't replicate this at their university, but even though OpenAI likes to publish it this way, we're not really talking about research here. Research was inventing the transformer architecture, this is just making it bigger by (very smart) engineering choices. It's something companies should do (and are doing), not researchers.

Re:NanoGPT by awestroke on Wednesday January 11, 2023 @05:24AM (#34336961)
Microsoft (using Azure DCs) built a supercomputer with 10,000 V100 GPUs exclusively for OpenAI. [0]

It is estimated that it cost around $5M in compute time to train GPT-3.

OpenAI has received billions in investment prior to launching GPT-3, including $1B from Microsoft in 2019.

[0]: https://blogs.microsoft.com/ai/openai-azure-supercomputer/

Re:NanoGPT by nileshtrivedi on Wednesday January 11, 2023 @05:25AM (#34336968)
> we're not talking of Google or Facebook investing a chunk of their billions cash

OpenAI had raised $1B from Microsoft in 2019 and used it to train a 175B param model. Now, they have raised $10B and are training GPT-4 with 1.5T params. GPUs are capital intensive and as long as there are returns to bigger models, that's exactly where things will go.

Re:NanoGPT by awestroke on Wednesday January 11, 2023 @05:32AM (#34337012)
I can't find any source on the 1.5T params number. I'd love to read more if you have any links to share. Thanks
Re:NanoGPT by wut42 on Wednesday January 11, 2023 @05:44AM (#34337065)
afaik, gpt-4 is mostly rumours so far, same thing for the 1.5T number. gpt-4 is suerly coming.
Re:NanoGPT by wnkrshm on Wednesday January 11, 2023 @06:34AM (#34337356)
Maybe it will be called GPT-XP by then, with Microsoft owning half of it.
Re:NanoGPT by awestroke on Wednesday January 11, 2023 @06:56AM (#34337484)
Or GPT-365
Re:NanoGPT by MikeDelta on Wednesday January 11, 2023 @07:19AM (#34337596)
Then they can bring back the talking paperclip, but this time actually useful.
Re:NanoGPT by generalizations on Wednesday January 11, 2023 @10:47AM (#34339737)
It could actually work. It would be an incredibly gutsy move and I love it, and they'd probably earn a lot of respect. They’d get so much press for it. And if it held up, it’d probably be one of the things that MS is remembered for.
Re:NanoGPT by wut42 on Wednesday January 11, 2023 @08:13AM (#34337993)
Or GPT One.
Re:NanoGPT by int_19h on Wednesday January 11, 2023 @05:59PM (#34346316)
Why not ask GPT itself what it wants to be called?
Re:NanoGPT by belter on Wednesday January 11, 2023 @08:47AM (#34338362)
Looking forward to see GPT-4 recommending Linux and Libre Office instead of Windows/Office as the logical choice out of 250 IQ ML Model...
Re:NanoGPT by taneq on Wednesday January 11, 2023 @09:26AM (#34338797)
GPT-10 will be evergreen and 'the last version of GPT'.

And then three years later GPT-11 will be required to run the latest games.

Re:NanoGPT by ben_w on Wednesday January 11, 2023 @10:24AM (#34339439)
In my imagination, OpenAI does what Bungie did when MS bought them, and open-sources what used to be their crown jewels.

That said, GPT-AlephOne only makes sense if there's a preceding GPT-∞.

Re:NanoGPT by egorfine on Wednesday January 11, 2023 @10:26AM (#34339463)
They have got to release GPT-3.11 For Workgroups first.
Re:NanoGPT by andy_ppp on Wednesday January 11, 2023 @05:46AM (#34337076)
Will 1.5T parameters be possible to run in the public way GPT-3 is? I can’t wait to see what happens with this much learning!
Re:NanoGPT by orbifold on Wednesday January 11, 2023 @05:29AM (#34336994)
I am actually still unclear how AlephAlpha pulled that off and who funds them, since they have a rather low profile team.
Re:NanoGPT by hdjjhhvvhga on Wednesday January 11, 2023 @06:19AM (#34337267)
> we're not talking of Google or Facebook investing a chunk of their billions cash.

On the contrary, in this thread we are are mainly talking about that.

Re:NanoGPT by SilverBirch on Wednesday January 11, 2023 @07:25AM (#34337624)
OpenAI was founded in 2015 by a group of billionaires who pledged $1Bn of funding. That is hardly a small scrappy start up.