Re:The quiz Daniel Kahneman wants you to fail
by nevinera on Friday January 06, 2012 @08:48AM
(#3433235)
It's worse than that - the probability is biased as you say if the sample were chosen randomly, but they did not claim that.
Given that the only distinguishing characteristic mentioned is a boolean (engineer or lawyer), and that they only chose one sample, the probability might just as well be 50% - the probability of the person picking the sample deciding one way or the other.
Given that the only distinguishing characteristic mentioned is a boolean (engineer or lawyer), and that they only chose one sample, the probability might just as well be 50% - the probability of the person picking the sample deciding one way or the other.