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Re:The quiz Daniel Kahneman wants you to fail by erichocean on Friday January 06, 2012 @05:41AM (#3432798)
The way I read it is this:

Do you want to be guaranteed you'll lose $900?

Or do you want a 10% chance you'll lose nothing at all, with a 90% chance you'll lose another $100?

So given a choice between being (nearly) totally wiped out, or having the chance of not being wiped out, people take the chance of keeping their cash.

Makes sense to me.

Re:The quiz Daniel Kahneman wants you to fail by mseebach on Friday January 06, 2012 @06:30AM (#3432904)
It seems odd to me that this disproves Bernoulli theory "that a person’s willingness to gamble a certain amount of money was a product of how that amount related to his overall wealth".

If I could pull $900-$1000 from my savings with no immediate consequences, I'd be more likely to spend the $900 at 100%. But if loosing $900-$1000 means I'll have to tell my landlord I'll be late with the rent and then finding someone to borrow it from, and paying it back with interest, the extra $100 aren't significantly more crippling - it's the transaction cost of going through all this bother that's problematic - I'll take a 10% chance.

Come to think of it, I actually did something like this: Prior to moving abroad a while ago, I consulted a lawyer to make sure I did everything right to avoid double taxation. That was a taking on a 100% chance of a rather big expense to avoid an unknown chance of an even larger expense.

Re:The quiz Daniel Kahneman wants you to fail by ansible on Friday January 06, 2012 @09:25AM (#3433361)
Yes, I agree. I think 5b is very poorly framed, and doesn't show what it is puported to show in the linked article.

I also agree that the reasoning changes a lot if this is a one-time event vs. a regular occurance.