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Re:Ask HN: What are you predictions for 2023? by SyzygistSix on Sunday December 25, 2022 @09:32AM (#34127528)
The one prediction I've seen (not here) that I agree with is that the Model Y will be the highest selling vehicle in the world in 2023. But I don't disagree with you about BEVs. I think companies will focus on hybrids as much as BEVs.
Re:Ask HN: What are you predictions for 2023? by Macha on Sunday December 25, 2022 @10:27AM (#34128001)
Not a hope. Won't win the US market because of not being big enough, will do even worse worldwide because of the price tag.
Re:Ask HN: What are you predictions for 2023? by SyzygistSix on Sunday December 25, 2022 @10:37AM (#34128098)
So far the exact opposite is happening, although you are correct that being the top selling car in the US won't happen, just the world as a whole. It's a pretty easy prediction, as even if it is wrong it will still barely trail Toyota for the top selling spot, barring some significant disruption and reversal.
Re:Ask HN: What are you predictions for 2023? by Macha on Sunday December 25, 2022 @07:54PM (#34133335)
They come #1 in Norway and their next best showing is #3 in China, but plenty of large markets where they're way down the list (e.g. #49 in Spain, #40 in germany did not make rankings in Italy, Brazil, India).

https://www.drive.com.au/news/the-best-selling-cars-around-t...

Re:Ask HN: What are you predictions for 2023? by readerbaza on Tuesday January 03, 2023 @04:50PM (#34238598)
Italy historical top 3 is always cheap city cars. Usually Fiat Panda which costs ~15k€ nowadays (used to be much less).

A 50K€ base model car as top 1 is a pipe dream. It'll happen when people can't buy cars anymore and all remains is the rich and robotaxis.