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Re:Binance Is Fucked by ggm on Friday December 16, 2022 @06:50AM (#34013550)
> Crypto is basically tech stock now

I don't see Foxconn workers assembling bored apes, and I don't see ape wrangling genius bars in all the shopping centres.

Crypto is basically not tech stock, ever.

Re:Binance Is Fucked by lzauz on Friday December 16, 2022 @06:56AM (#34013586)
You cherrypicked examples where there's a physical element to the transaction.

What exactly does WhatsApp assemble? Or where do I get customer service in person for WhatsApp?

Re:Binance Is Fucked by pavlov on Friday December 16, 2022 @07:11AM (#34013688)
If WhatsApp disappeared today, over a billion people would lose their main communication channel with friends and families, and millions of businesses in emerging markets would lose a primary sales channel.

If crypto disappeared today, what would be the real-world effect? How many people would be inconvenienced in some other sense than "bummer, I hoped this would make me rich"? How many actual businesses would be impacted?

Re:Binance Is Fucked by JackFr on Friday December 16, 2022 @07:39AM (#34013911)
Well actually, you would throw a major wrench in the works of most ransomware operations.

So there’s that.

Re:Binance Is Fucked by yourapostasy on Friday December 16, 2022 @07:48AM (#34013973)
I've seen some concern voiced over counterparty risk in private credit contagion into public markets. Counterparty relationships are not uniformly visible across the financial landscape, so it is conceivable someone accepts a counterparty position on an instrument where crypto is pledged as an asset. This instrument is presented as a different asset obscuring the crypto, a tower of downstream instruments are constructed on top of that original instrument, and tranches leak out into a bunch of other more tradfi instruments.

I've yet to see evidence that this is widespread in practice. Though admittedly there is a lot that can go on in private credit that is out of reach from public analytics.

Even if there was contagion risk however, I don't expect extinction level financial system damage. Total global crypto valuation at peak was around $1T USD depending upon who you ask. Global software industry alone is around $10T USD. If crypto goes to zero tomorrow, it would be life-alterting to many people, but most of the world would go on about their lives.

More value has been erased from global equity markets this year than any hypothetical crypto-to-zero scenario, and while the consequences won't be pleasant, in the developed world if you have saved up 1-7 years of living expenses you will barely notice the recession currently inbound.

Re:Binance Is Fucked by kristianc on Friday December 16, 2022 @07:05AM (#34013649)
WhatsApp charges businesses for access to its API, and also has a payments platform in emerging markets. It assembles and sells software products.
Re:Binance Is Fucked by prepend on Friday December 16, 2022 @07:06AM (#34013656)
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