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Re:Ask HN: Is the AI Apocalypse Imminent? by seydor on Friday December 09, 2022 @04:06AM (#33919239)
each time it 's the same fud, though in this moment the Fear factor is bigger than ever before, but not because things are awful, it's becase people have been conditioned to yell every time there is something new.

GPTs are an explosive multiplier for productivity. They will become the new baseline and people will be asked to do more with them. Those that can't keep up will lose jobs etc, but not the majority. We are in for a huge jump in productivity.

The best we can do is educate the public about the existence of these tools. It's crazy that people have been trained to dismiss them because of bad press in the past 10 years. We can't really stop technology so we better join the ride

Re:Ask HN: Is the AI Apocalypse Imminent? by lm28469 on Friday December 09, 2022 @05:56AM (#33919979)
> We can't really stop technology so we better join the ride

I see more and more people saying stuff like that on HN and I feel like we've collectively gave up on the idea of regulations &c.

It's our collective job to decide what's good or not and what we want or not. Saying "eh it's technology we _have_ to go with it" seems really dumb and a fairly new thing.

Thinking like that means weaponised autonomous robots is just the logical next step of "progress" for example. Or mass surveillance is inevitable and being so would even make it desirable by that logic

Re:Ask HN: Is the AI Apocalypse Imminent? by seydor on Friday December 09, 2022 @07:08AM (#33920385)
The regulation-first approach has effectively neutralized the whole of the EU. I think that's enough evidence
Re:Ask HN: Is the AI Apocalypse Imminent? by lm28469 on Friday December 09, 2022 @10:02AM (#33921924)
Neutralised in what way ?

The EU and the US never had the same view on most economical and social questions, what you view as a failure we view as a success.

Re:Ask HN: Is the AI Apocalypse Imminent? by TheOtherHobbes on Friday December 09, 2022 @09:43AM (#33921677)
I don't think GPTs will be an explosive multiplier because quantity is not the same as quality.

More crudely, GPTs make it easier to produce disposable crap automatically by applying statistical data compression to large training sets.

They're purely mechanical and have no concept of semantics or subjectivity.

So if you ask GPT to write code, you may get something that mostly works, or you may get garbage. And if you're lucky enough to get something that mostly works you'll still need to refine and test it manually.

Human coding has the same perpetually-almost-there issue. But humans can understand a specification and also understand unstated requirements. So the almost-there is more likely to be fit for purpose.

Humans can also take the initiative with new classes of problems.

The real danger is that AI-ifying everything will cripple that imaginative ability, because we'll all be settling for AI worse-is-better instead of aiming higher.

Re:Ask HN: Is the AI Apocalypse Imminent? by seydor on Friday December 09, 2022 @10:02AM (#33921915)
Reducing quantity of time is an explosive multiplier of productivity.
Re:Ask HN: Is the AI Apocalypse Imminent? by AnimalMuppet on Friday December 09, 2022 @11:05AM (#33922817)
Depends on how long it takes you to fix the junk it gives you. It may not reduce the quantity of time at all.