Re:Ask HN: Software architects – what’s your typical day loo...
by ycombobreaker on Tuesday December 06, 2022 @09:06PM
(#33889872)
> It is impossible know which choice will result in better outcomes. Whatever you choose has probably about equal chance of success or failure.
It's a common fallacy to assign 50/50 probability to unknown distributions. Furthermore, many choices are not binary, or may not be as simple as right/wrong in hindsight.
But I agree with the idea of amortizing your perspective over many choices.
It's a common fallacy to assign 50/50 probability to unknown distributions. Furthermore, many choices are not binary, or may not be as simple as right/wrong in hindsight.
But I agree with the idea of amortizing your perspective over many choices.