I wrote the headline to make it clear that this was coming from a single source. I am not an expert in hosting or infrastructure.
That being said, there is an interesting discussion going on over at Betabeat. To quote on comment = "At one side is platform as a service or managed platforms on top of EC2 -- Heroku, EngineYard (which Groupon appears to use), etc. These are easy to set up, and have lower overhead for small or medium organizations. They have the highest per-unit cost, but for rapidly growing or small organizations, can be worth it."
I think its fair to say Groupon is a large company and past the point of its most rapid growth. To me that fits with the idea that they are looking to make a transition but have not accomplished it yet, whether that change is moving to EC2 or building their own data center.
It could be they're trying to estimate based on handling their growth for the next three years, for example, in which case of course the cost could be horribly out of whack with current revenues.