If you spend a few years picking stocks, you'll come across this feeling all the time. It's confusion where there should be confusion, imo.

The reason I use stocks as an example - you can do some analysis on something, be pretty darn sure that a company is overvalued or undervalued or will grow about X or profitability will be Y, or some new product can't possibly work... and a few years later you'll be dead wrong, and the numbers will be right there to show you. You can't push back, you are wrong. You missed something, misunderstood something, underestimated something, overestimated something. Lots of smart people had well reasoned and informed arguments as to why the apple iphone wouldn't be a success.

Even if you are perfectly rational and logical, there is always the possibility you are missing a variable or a premise is just wrong enough to screw you. And the very person most likely to see the thing you are missing is someone quite different from you, who you may well think less of for whatever reason (even if it's valid, like crypto bros who do indeed seem to know zero about the financial system they criticize, and who i look down upon).